📊 Weekly Outlook August 5-9:
Fears of global recession, US markets slip over weakening economic data 📉 #GlobalRecession #USMarkets

😬 News/Sentiment:
• Fears of global recession
• US markets slip over weakening economic data
• Pessimism over Middle east tensions
• Rumors of Jump Trading shutting down crypto operations
• 78% probability of 50bps cut in September 📉
• BofA believe employment numbers are over exaggerated
• Sahm rule triggered; 10/11 chance of recession in 4 months 📊
• Poor earnings, negative revisions and general pessimist outlook for earning season
• Harris' recent success in polls having negative impact on cryptos
• Yen-dollar carry trades unwinding, negatively affecting global markets 📉 #YenDollar #CarryTrades

📅 Events This Week (cont.):

•Tue: AUD: Interest rate decision and monetary policy statement, US: Fed GDP now #AUDRate #FedeGDP

•Wed: US: Consumer Credit report

•Thu: India: Interest rate Decision, US: Jobless claims, Fed Balance Sheet #ConsumerCredit #IndiaRate

😬 Risk Appetite:
• AAII sentiment: 7% off 1 year bullish high (as of last week)
• Market fear/greed = 19
• Market breadth = fear
• Put/call = extreme fear
• Junk bond vs investment grade = extreme fear
• Crypto fear/greed = 26
•High yield bond prem. = 3.72%

📊 Market Breadth:
• Percentage of $SPX stocks above 200D MA: = 55% (Decrease from last week)
• Percentage of $SPX stocks above 50D MA: = 49% (Decrease from last week)
• Percentage of $SPX stocks above 20D MA: = 30% (decrease from last week)
• NASDAQ new highs - new lows = -90
• SPY 52 week highs - 52 week lows =-291
• SPY New highs - New lows = Monthly 44 ; Weekly 4
Fed rate monitor tool = 95% probability of 25bps cut next meeting, 78% chance of 50bps (September 18th)