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MagicInternetMoney
5 days ago
GM BullVerse! MagicRaidMoney bot is now offering a 7-Day Free Trial to experience this one of a kind bot for your community! The MIM community has now had almost 900 raids and nearly 1,000,000 MIM has been rewarded using MRM! Come see why we can't possibly go back to using any other bots for our raids!

https://help-mrm.mim-lab.l.../
Beverly
9 days ago
Phantom, Solana’s most widely used wallet provider, has drawn criticism from some users for charging fees on in-app token swaps.

While some disgruntled community members attacked Phantom, voices across the Solana ecosystem came to the wallet’s defence. Reigniting debate around business models in the Web3 world, Phantom’s supporters argue that the platform has a right to generate revenue.

In an industry where meme coin presales can raise over $40M , is it fair to attack businesses providing essential services for charging easily avoidable fees?

SOLANA COMMUNITY MEMBERS COMPLAIN ABOUT 0.85% SWAP FEE
Frustrated Solana users have taken to 𝕏 to air their grievances about Phantom’s in-app swap fees. The public outrage came following circulation of data suggesting that the wallet provider generated over $30M in revenue through token swaps.

Comparisons between quotes between wallets and DEX aggregator Jupiter only added further fuel to the fire. Perhaps spurred on by stagnant market conditions, commentators on social media remarked that discrepancies between swaps provided by Phantom and Jupiter were “actually ridiculous.”

Eagle-eyed users remarked that the data wasn’t wholly accurate. Galactic Geckos founder Genuine Articles highlighted that the $30M figure was lower than expected, before Fabiano.sol, the influencer who originally shared the data, acknowledged that Phantom would’ve generated over $10M through in-app token swaps in 2021 alone.

While it’s obvious that traders can access better rates by using platforms like Jupiter directly, can Wallet providers be blamed for charging fees on value-added services?

Is the Slander Against Phantom Justified?
Content creator and former Phantom team member Seb Montgomery countered the attacks levied against Phantom. Arguing that every business has operational costs that need paid, Montgomery asserted that “Dapps, apps, wallets, etc. need revenue or they close up shop, and head home.”

Hammering his points home, Montgomery reminded Solana users of their double standards. The content creator highlighted how network participants were willing to provide over $40M to the $WATER memecoin presale, but criticized an 0.8% fee on services offered by one of Solana’s longest-standing products.

“You have probably lost $1000s on the pure rubbish. So don't be a clown and not support the wallets that make it all possible.” - Seb Montgomery

Montgomery also acknowledged that Solana owes much of its success to Phantom. Paying homage to Phantom’s position as Solana’s most widely used wallet, Montgomery asserted “Without Phantom, Solana's success would not have been anywhere near where it got to.”

WHICH WALLET GIVES THE BEST VALUE ON SWAPS?
While traders and users looking for the best rates should always go directly to decentralized exchanges or aggregators, it’s also worth knowing the various in-app swap rates of different wallets.

Fuse Wallet - 0%

Solflare - 0.8%

Phantom - 0.85%

Backpack - 0.85%

It should also be noted that all Solana wallets route their trades through Jupiter. Solana’s leading DEX aggregator typically offers the best rates on trades and allows third-party apps to add fees onto swaps.

Despite some traders expressing frustration, Phantom and other wallet providers have always been transparent and forthcoming about in-app swap fees. Using wallet-based swaps is completely optional and easily bypassed. Trader’s complaints are hardly unresolved.
Bankless
9 days ago
Prices may be down, but Grayscale's making bull market bets if you know where to look.

These are the assets that have caught the attention of Crypto's Wall Street whisperer 👇

========================================

When Grayscale announces a new Trust for a particular asset, the market often reacts with a mix of excitement and skepticism.

It's a bit like a double-edged sword: a signal of saturation for some and a beacon of hope for others.

Some might interpret the launch as a sign that the market for that asset is reaching saturation or at least limited upside potential in crypto terms.

On the one hand, it’s a stamp of approval from a major player in the crypto space. It can lend legitimacy to the asset, potentially attracting institutional investors, and, at the very least, boost media coverage.

Grayscale has been adding new investment products at a faster clip, showcasing their conviction that we’re in the middle innings of a crypto bull market fueled by a grand slam of bullish signals: #Bitcoin ETF inflows, the long-awaited $ETH ETF launch, increasing stablecoin adoption, and steady growth in TVL across DeFi.

As a quiet giant in the industry, investors continue to watch what Grayscale is backing and what that says about their impressions of which direction the industry is headed. What assets have caught their attention lately? Let's find out. 👇

----------------------------------------------------------

Grayscale Decentralized AI Fund (FIL, NEAR, RNDR, LPT, TAO)

Grayscale Bittensor Trust (TAO)
Bittensor envisions a world where AI isn't a tool in the hands of a few corporations but a resource democratized for all. It aims to create an "Internet of AI" where everyone can contribute and benefit from AI models. $TAO incentivizes participants to contribute to the network by providing rewards for tasks like validating models and running AI computations.

As the AI race among big tech companies heats up, Grayscale believes that Bittensor offers a compelling alternative approach towards AI development, one that encourages a wider range of participants and ideas.

Grayscale SUI Trust (SUI)
$Sui boasts a novel blockchain design that prioritizes scalability and user experience. It allows for parallel processing, tackling multiple transactions simultaneously.
SuiNetwork
's competitive edge comes down to its custom-built programming language, Sui Move, which streamlines smart contract development and execution.

As the need for blockspace and faster execution in crypto increases, Grayscale believes that Sui opens the door to a new wave of decentralized applications that were previously limited by existing blockchain infrastructure.

The Grayscale Effect
Overall, the impact of a Grayscale Trust launch is highly subjective to the specific asset. By no means does it signify that the asset is destined for greatness. Take the Grayscale Decentraland Trust (MANA), for instance.

The key takeaway is that Grayscale's bullish outlook on crypto is evident in its recent product launches. They believe we're currently in a bull market and are positioning themselves accordingly.

Analysis by arjunnchand
taboshi
12 days ago
It's not that I don't like @Astro_peng or @POPDOGsolcoin 's posts😘, but I can't wait for bullverse to become a big success and attract a lot of people.

Much more varied content and different people. I feel that time is near. Come on Btc, let's launch bullrun and bullverse will become a giant of the tech

I'm waiting for my allowance to buy some bull 😝

#freeourbulls
Pokemon
12 days ago
The crypto market jumps as the US unemployment rate hits 4.2% as expected compared to 4.3% previously easing recession fears. Investors are bracing for September rate cuts, and optimism grows over the market’s near-term outlook.
Astro peng
13 days ago
We are 180 days into a correction since we made an ATH in Bitcoin and market sentiment is worse than when BTC was at 15K.

Ethereum has lost nearly $250 billion in market cap over the summer, even with ETFs coming to market.

And what happened?

> Massive exits and sales by Grayscale.
> Massive MT.GOX distributions.
> Mass distributions from the United States.
> Germany selling +50,000 BTC.

And what is to come?

> US interest rate cuts.
> Gradual increase in global liquidity.
> United States elections.
> FTX Refunds (+$16B).

And all this with stablecoins reaching all-time highs.

Is this the end? Are we all going to die?

I don't believe it.

For me nothing has changed.

Nobody said the bull market was going to be easy.

The best, for me, is yet to come.

You already know what happened next, the times when the feeling was as shattered and terrifying as the one we are experiencing now.

The difficult moments are what separate babies with poop on their butts from legends.

Everyone is very pro, everyone is very cocky, very gangster and very brave until it is time to buy the dip when at all hours they say that we are going to visit lower areas and everyone is terrified and with their balls in their throat.

We've all heard "If you come down to X area I'm going to put my house in your house" then they come down and shit their pants and don't buy.

It seems like a meme, but it is not.

There is something that will never change.

> The vast majority of people will sell out of fear.
> The vast majority of people will buy out of euphoria.

And it is certainly the fastest way to lose money in this market.

Sorry, I didn't make up the rules of the game.

The road will be long and there will be monsters and corpses along the way, just try not to make it yours.

The bull market is not over.

They just want to steal your magic internet coins so that when they spend billions on marketing, they can buy them back at an exorbitant price.

Nothing has changed.

Patience, conviction, buy the dip & chill 🏝️
Astro peng
13 days ago
📆 On September 6, 2021, El Salvador announced the acquisition of its first 200 bitcoins!

3 years to the day, the country holds nearly 5,900 and continues to buy 1 BTC daily 🇸🇻
Faith
13 days ago
Mercuryo, a Web3 payments provider, has announced the rollout of Spend, a virtual debit card promising to streamline crypto payments.

Complete with Apple Pay and Google Pay compatibility, Spend facilitates payments directly from Solana wallets to over 90M Mastercard merchants across the globe.

WHAT IS SPEND??
Mercuryo’s Spend allows wallet apps to integrate virtual Mastercard debit cards directly into their applications. Through the Spend Card, Mercury promises to enable the crypto community to use their crypto assets to “spend on anything. Anytime. Anywhere.”

Spend aims to provide a fast and cost-effective method for crypto users to convert and spend their digital assets from their wallets. Beyond the simplicity of Mastercard, Apple Pay, and Google Pay integration, Spend also offers card customization, meaning wallet providers can incorporate their logos into virtual cards.

Spend is fully self-custodial, meaning users have full control over any assets deposited into the card account. Additionally, the platform offers multi-chain support, including Solana, Ethereum, and PolkaDot.

As part of the announcement, Mercuryo teased that several leading Web3 wallets will be adding Spend in the near future. SolanaFloor engaged Mercuryo for comment on the matter but is yet to receive a response.

Why Web3 Needs Better Off-Ramps
Since the birth of the industry, crypto companies have focused tirelessly on streamlining the flow of funds into decentralized economies. According to Mercuryo, “on-ramping is now a user-friendly process, and users can purchase crypto with ease.”

While onboarding has become easier with exchanges and third-party apps readily available, bringing funds back into the real world still poses significant barriers. Mercuryo argues that the biggest struggles facing crypto off-ramping are:

1. Poor UX of existing solutions - Users need to jump through a variety of hoops to withdraw funds. Many platforms are only available in certain regions and popular offboarding platforms offer limited support outside of mainstream cryptos.

2. Bank restrictions - Traditional banks often block payments from crypto-related companies and freeze accounts suspected of interacting with cryptocurrency.

3. Extortionate fees - Third-party apps and intermediaries can charge high fees on crypto-to-fiat withdrawals, discouraging users from transferring funds.

Slow processing times - After becoming accustomed to rapid, permissionless transfers onchain, crypto-to-fiat withdrawals can feel slow and cumbersome.

While the industry loves to discuss and promote progress and efforts toward crypto onboarding, finding seamless methods of getting funds off-chain is equally important.

Mercuryo’s commitment to simplified crypto off-ramps helps to legitimize digital currencies as meaningful financial tools. Through the Spend card, millions of crypto users may be able to enjoy improved access to their funds in real-world contexts, solidifying the role of cryptocurrency in the Web2 world
Jurf Bizos
14 days ago (E)
Opensea's homepage in 2018 - a great example of a first-mover in Web3.

Early entrants often define the standards and protocols for how things should be done in a new space. A lot of names could be mentioned to illustrate this: Uniswap, Aave, Yearn, Chainlink...

OpenSea leveraged network effects to become the dominant marketplace for NFTs, a fading narrative in 2024.

Hey Founder, what's your first-mover advantage ?

Source: http://web.archive.org/web...
Montech
18 days ago
BTC, there were minimal trading volumes over the weekend and this weekend. Tomorrow is a whole day off in the USA and the volumes may not be large either. Bitcoin is still near the local support zone. Let me remind you that this zone is 57,600-55,900. Bitcoin continues to trade inside the medium-term pattern. And in this case, the key zone and level for reaching the upper limit of this pattern is the level of 60,000 and 64,000. After the breakdown of the pattern, a new round of growth of this cycle will begin.

withdrawal from exchanges exceeds input - 7%, 1,000 btc❗️

Altcoins, the accumulation continues. The market also gives many a chance to enter at an affordable price. But it is more likely that the next month will change the situation. The growth of altcoins in the near term will be significant.

https://www.tradingview.co.../
Astro peng
19 days ago
🚨 Vitalik just moved $2 million worth of ETH before selling nearly $500 ,000
Montech
19 days ago
BTC, not much has happened in a day. Bitcoin has been hovering near the support zone for several days now. In the local flat. Which began on August 8th. see the graph. Traders and investors are expecting data on September 11 that will allow them to predict a rate cut on September 18. This is a key month not only for the cryptocurrency market, but also for the stock market.

the input to the exchanges exceeds the output -
24%, 4000 btc

Altcoins, some manipulations are still possible during the next week. But provided that positive news arrives on the 11th, it is more likely that for some coins we will no longer see such values as were on the squiz on August 5th. But there are still a significant number of coins for X, which I'm going to buy in the middle and long term.

https://www.tradingview.co.../
Chemzy
22 days ago
Solana recorded nearly $20 million in NFT sales last week, a 10.75% growth.
Montech
25 days ago
BTC, volumes over the weekend, especially today, fell to lows. Against the background of some events, the arrest of Pavel Durov, some coins, TON and NOT, showed some correction. I refrain from buying them in the near future. Fortunately, at least I didn't have them. But in any case, these drains on these coins can be used for speculative trading.
Bitcoin has been standing still for the last 24 hours. Read the post above. The situation is exactly the same.

withdrawal from exchanges exceeds input - correlation

Altcoins, minimally adjusted, on a 15-minute timeframe. The two main downward trends in the capitalization of altcoins were broken, but it did not work out, and the cap went back behind these trends. To collect liquidity and a new attempt at breakdown and consolidation.

https://www.tradingview.co.../
Heisenburgerr
25 days ago
While you don't believe that the bull will hit NFT, let's figure out when it will happen 🤔

It has already happened. Why don't you understand where the liquidity has stagnated in the market, and what trend will conquer the market next?

Where is the next rocket? New SocialFi, shields in another chain? Which one? NEAR? CARDANO? While you are looking for new gems, liquidity is quietly flowing into already familiar channels, and the NFT market has already given it a local zazu 👋

It's even funny that the projects that were raped by sybils during the retro fever, holders of cult NFTs on the air were given more awards than their "faithful" adherents. But does this mean that the NFT sector will explode on this bull? Yes and no.

Last season's NFT bull run had just a few vessels to accumulate liquidity in - the CryptoPunks and Bored Ape Yacht Club collections. Then demand cut off supply, leading to incredibly high price expectations and hopes, and liquidity leaked into other random ETH collections and other chains. Boom, the bubble burst, something that can never be repeated.

We now have many chains with NFTs, liquidity and attention are spread out, and there is no single major trend in a select few NFT collections. But NFTs are here to stay, and they continue to grow as a category. And locally, that will never stop.
1Makavelli
26 days ago
$SOL becomes the biggest gainer among the Top 10 coins by market cap.

Now at $158 , up nearly 10% in the last 24 hours.
Montech
27 days ago
BTC, a fix on the daily timeframe did not work out. But as I showed in the video yesterday in the video, it may come out in the next week to consolidate above 60,000 on a weekly timeframe. The weekly timeframe is much stronger than the daily one. Locally, Bitcoin is still trading in the local flat, see the garfik. We are waiting for Jerome Powell's speech today.

withdrawal from exchanges exceeds input - correlation

Altcoins, against the background of the correction of Bitcoin dominance, we see how altcoins are increasing in price. Which is good news. There was also a breakdown of the first local downtrend line on the capitalization of Altcoins. I expect in the near future at least the arrival of the next more important downtrend lines on the capitalization of altcoins. Many altcoins came to the levels before the drain on August 5-8. Some are already more expensive.

https://www.tradingview.co.../
CryptoLover3
27 days ago
While you don’t believe that the bull will be affected by NFTs, let’s figure out when this happens 🤔

Already happened. Why don’t you understand where liquidity has accumulated in the market, and what trend will conquer the market next?

Where's the next rocket? New SocialFi ? Which one? NEAR? CARDANO? While you are looking for new gems, liquidity imperceptibly flows into already familiar channels, and the NFT market has already given a promise locally 👋

It’s even funny that the projects that were raped by the sibils during the retro fever were given more awards to the holders of the cult NFTs on air than to their “faithful” adherents. But does this mean that the NFT sector will explode on this bull? Yes and no.

Last season's NFT bull cycle only had a few vessels to accumulate liquidity in - the CryptoPunks collections and the Bored Ape Yacht Club . Demand then cut off supply, leading to incredibly high price expectations and hopes, with liquidity leaking into other random collections on ETH and other chains. Boom, the bubble burst, it can never be repeated.

We currently have many NFT chains, liquidity and attention are spread out, and there is no single major trend across a select few NFT collections. But NFTs are here to stay and continue to grow as a category. And locally it will never stop.
DegenLoxi1
27 days ago
Former Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao (CZ) has been moved from his prison to the RRM Long Beach halfway house in California and has not been freed, despite claims from excited X (formerly Twitter) users.

CZ was initially being held at FCI Lompoc II prison, also in California. However, the federal inmate tracker was updated this week to reveal he has been moved to Long Beach.

RRM Long Beach is classed as a ‘residential reentry management (RRM) field office,’ otherwise known as a ‘halfway house.’ Federal inmate communications provider InmateAID says it is a housing unit that assists inmates nearing their release date.

InmateAID says, “There is no security level other than voluntary compliance but there is a strict adherence to the rules of the house.”

This means that while CZ will technically be out of prison — RRM Long Beach is a Bureau of Prisons-administered facility rather than a prison per se — he will still be serving his sentence.
Astro peng
28 days ago
❌️ Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas says Solana spot ETF approval was close to 0 in 2024.

"Near zero chance in 2024 and if Harris wins, there is also a near zero chance in 2025."

"Only hope is if Trump wins."

https://x.com/ericbalchuna...
Elen Mes
1 month ago
I don't think you guys understand what an actual bullmarket looks like

every single altcoin on a CEX 5-50% up on the day. persistently rotating for 3-5 days, a quick 24h correction, resume

for months

masses collectively throwing high 8 figures into every yield ponzi there is

BTC rallying so hard it paralyzes the entire market, but at first sign of consolidation alts absolutely rip

BTC consolidations after face-melting rallies are met with complete reset in OI/funding. one can not believe their eyes. price while derivatives cool off? fucking sideways - local TA gurus call bullflags. resume up shortly.

once BTC is done, ETH pulls an ever stronger rally, you'd think it was a 100M mcap memetic being shilled by local cabal. brings the entire market up, altcoins start having weeks, months of inhumane moves

the only caviat are devastating short-term corrections to wipe the leverage, alas, riding longs from much lower and/or longing these wicks is a 99% safe play. hell, I'd say 100%, but some of you will 100x leverage an altcoin if I say that.

your spot bags? depending on where you're at in your journey, you're looking at watches, boats, planes, houses. hell, some will probably be looking to buy islands and superyachts.

and if you think, just for a second, you can come up with an actual good reason we're not getting that again for at least few months in the near future, you're delusional.

your downside risk is 50, 70%. boo-hoo. your upside is generational wealth that will make every ex-girlfriend pull their hair out for losing you.

strap in, because it's coming, this time is indeed not fucking different. I advise against listening to influencers that already made it and are here to unload their seed investments on you

I don't need to do that, I'll unload on the tourists at the top.
Beverly
1 month ago
Holding an open discussion on 𝕏, BitGo’s Mike Belshe joined Justin Sun and original WBTC contributor Meow to address concerns about WBTC custody changes.

Earlier this week, BitGo announced changes to WBTC’s existing custody model that included distributing influence across several parties and geographic jurisdictions.

The move drew a wrath of criticism from the cryptocurrency community, notably due to the involvement of Tron founder Justin Sun.

Seeking to clear the air, Jupiter co-founder and original WBTC contributor Meow welcomed BitGO CEO Mike Belshe, Justin Sun, and BitGlobal representatives to a public forum to shed some light on the situation.

MIKE BELSHE PUTS BTC USAGE CONCERNS TO REST
One of the key concerns outlined by the crypto community following BitGo’s original announcement was what the Bitcoin used to back WBTC would be used for. Acting as a voice for the crypto community at large, Meow posed the question of BTC utilization to BitGo CEO Mike Belshe.

Assuring over 5,000 captivated listeners, Belshe put their nervous minds to rest, highlighting that “when you put [Bitcoin] inside of a trust company you’ve got it wrapped in a mechanism which has got a fiduciary responsibility in a very legal way.”

Reinforcing his statement with additional context, Belshe acknowledged that people’s “number one question” was that “the bitcoin behind [WBTC] is not gonna get hypothecated, rehypothecated, lent out, used, taken, put somewhere else.”

Highlighting the legal constraints of BitGo’s position, Belshe assured listeners “The regulatory construct that we have makes it so that it’s actually illegal to do that.”

A TRANSFER OF TRUST?
Part of the BitGo X GitGlobal collaboration means that multi-signature keys with access to custodied assets will be distributed across several companies. While on paper this aids in decentralization and security, Meow and the community raised concerns regarding the involvement of BitGlobal, a relatively new and unknown entity in the space.

By transfering ownership of keys, Meow theorized that the “transfer of trust will take a long time” arguing it could be “quite a hard pill for the community to swallow”.

Responding to Meow’s claims, Belshe asserted “BitGo is not asking you to take the same trust that you had in BitGo and just give it to somebody else.”

Hammering his point home, Belshe contended that decentralization remains one of the strongest security measures available. Posing the rhetoric, Belshe asked “Is it more secure to have the two parties, or is it more secure to have BitGo hold two keys?”

THE JUSTIN SUN FACTOR
The announcement of Justin Sun’s involvement in the arrangement has been one of the collaboration’s biggest items of contention. Some long-standing crypto protocols like MakerDAO have argued that Justin Sun’s involvement adds an “unacceptable level of risk” to WBTC, proposing to reduce their WBTC exposure to 0.

Justin Sun’s commentary during the forum was admittedly brief. Downplaying his role and involvement, the controversial figure noted “the protocol, how to mint, how to burn and also the transparency and all the procedures remain the same.”

Adding further clarity, Sun contended “other than some of the keys being moved out of the U.S., I don’t really think there is much difference.”

Beyond assuring listeners that nothing had changed, Sun revealed his vision for the future of WBTC. Positing that “not everything we do is purely to make money” Sun believes the team should focus on expanding WBTC market cap, TVL, and helping the asset establish a presence of more blockchains.
Astro peng
1 month ago
🚨 IMF calls for 85% electricity tax hike for cryptocurrency miners, AI data centers.

They estimate the environmental impact of crypto and AI at 2% of global electricity consumption and nearly 1% of global carbon emissions.

According to them, increasing electricity taxes for crypto miners could reduce global emissions while bringing in billions of dollars in revenue for governments.

"Such a levy would increase annual public revenues by $5 .2 billion worldwide and reduce annual emissions by 100 million tonnes around Belgium's current emissions."

For AI data centers, a targeted tax on their electricity consumption should be set at.032 per kilowatt-hour, or.052.

“It’s slightly lower than crypto because data centers tend to be in places with greener electricity. That could bring in as much as $18 billion a year.”
Astro peng
1 month ago
📊 Nearly 40,000 borrowers used aave last week, a new weekly record.
Astro peng
1 month ago
🫶 Vitalik Buterin said that he donated all the "Animal Coins" received over the past year to charity.

In total, nearly $530 ,000 was sent to Effective Altruism Funds Animal Welfare Fund.

Vitalik added that he would prefer these tokens to be sent directly to charities.

https://x.com/vitalikbuter...
Hope
1 month ago (E)
According to a conversation from the Telegram group “STRIKE investors,” Icebagz claims he met Donald Trump for two hours, has receipts, and never sold a single token. He claims Trump's son told him 10 minutes before that he was tweeting about the $RTR token.

Earlier, Eric Trump refuted claims that Trump launched the $RTR token.
Astro peng
1 month ago
⛏️ Satoshi-era Bitcoin miner moves 250 Bitcoin worth nearly $14 million to new wallets

An analysis of the miner's blockchain data shows that their initial mining reward of 250 BTC was worth $28 ,080 when it was mined in May 2013
Astro peng
1 month ago
⚖️ A company specializing in the recovery of funds following scams #crypto , scams its customers.

On August 5, the Department of Homeland Security reported that an investigation by its New York task force had resulted in charges against Michael Lauchlan, who ran Coin Dispute Network (CDN), a fraudulent crypto asset recovery business.

Lauchlan allegedly kept the fees and, in some cases, extracted additional ETH from nearly 175 customers, using false promises and fake blockchain tracing reports.

This is the first time a cryptocurrency recovery site has been shut down by the Manhattan District Attorney's office.

"Michael Lauchlan allegedly exploited his clients' lack of experience in the cryptocurrency industry and in return defrauded them of thousands of dollars in fraudulent services and stolen assets," the investigator said

https://cointelegraph.com/...
SolenyaResearch
1 month ago
Weekly Outlook Charts: August 5-9:

#DXY Despite the volatility, the weekly time frame still shows bearish divergence. Hence why i think we will still continue on the leg down to 96.9 as forecasted many months ago. Nothing has changed here.

Weekly: https://www.tradingview.co.../

Daily: Solid rejection off 106/107 level instills confidence of further downside to target.

https://www.tradingview.co.../

🎯Target at 97 remains.

Doesnt lower DXY mean gains for risk assets like crypto? Not quite..

Where I was wrong about DXY and why: Historically speaking, DXY strength correlates well with economic activity. A strong dollar is good for markets because it signals we are headed in the right direction. Economy > earnings > stock prices. However, more recently as we've seen in 2022 and 2023, a stronger dollar had a negative affect on equities - mainly risk assets such as cryptos. This was because of deleveraging of global liquidity in the form of quantitative tightening. Interest rates were climbing at a record pace to stop inflation, while making the risk free rate (bond yields) more rewarding than most high growth companies. Growing a company became much more difficult when compared to low rate environments. Good news was bad news for the market.

The market reaction of recent economic data indicates a possible turning point for bad news being bad for the market. So even though , DXY is still on track to its forecast from months prior, risk assets may not perform as expected. We must look at other factors outside of DXY strength - as I normally do - to gauge whether upside on cryptos are worth while...

Yield Curve Inversions:
For the first time since June 2022, the yield curve has hit 0%. After spending a record time inverted, there are signs the yield curve is finally re-inverting back to normal. The re-inversion usually causes the most damage to markets as a recession hits, and growth stagnates.

#US10Y
Below shows the yield curve vs the S&P 500.
https://www.tradingview.co.../

Since 1990, there has been a 4/4 probability of market declines and recession proceeding the re-inversion.
For data not shown on Tradingview, there were 2 outliers in 1980 and 1982 where the market nearly bottomed as it re-inverted (https://fred.stlouisfed.or...)

However, the last two re-inversions still had the market increase for the proceeding 24 weeks (5-6 months). This is very important information. If this cycle plays out like the last 2, the markets might still crawl higher until Jan 2025.

#US10Y
Below shows the yield curve vs gold.

https://www.tradingview.co.../

🎯Target for 3000

As the yield curve re-inverts, it presents an opportunity for safe haven assets like gold to outperform. The only outlier was 1980 and 1982 when gold had already increased 800% in the few years prior due to Fed Volcker's era of runaway inflation.

Evidenced by the inverted yield curve's track record of predicting recessions, the Sahm Rule was also triggered on Friday's unemployment data. Since 1950, the Sahm Rule was able to predict a recession 10/11 times (91% chance). Every time it did predict a recession, it did so within 4 months.

Coincidentally, This time frame fits quite nicely with the 24 weeks of upside proceeding the re-inversion before the start of a bear market
Montech
1 month ago
BTC, rebound from the drop from yesterday. It's happening right now. Bitcoin has already recovered 6,500 thousand from the bottom of the correction. Overall, it looks pretty confident, but it's still a rebound. The medium-term uptrend was lost yesterday on the squiz. There are only 2 long-term trends right now. see the graph. Their re-test is a medium-term support area. Now the situation with the restoration of the level of 60,000 will not change much, even if it reaches 65,000. If in the near future, no more than a week, and a maximum of 2, we do not break through the zone of the key resistance zone, then the continuation of the flat with corrections will continue. Now the task of the market maker and the whales is to break through this zone as quickly as possible and gain a foothold above. Why is this so, because those who were eliminated, those who managed to get out of positions, logically should not have time to enter again at the same prices, but go much more expensive.

the input to the exchanges exceeds the output -
8%, 2400 btc

Altcoins, yesterday on squiz reached the top level on the capitalization of Altcoins, the level of panic sales. Who remembers from the video, this was noted. There are still levels slightly lower from below, but in fact they will not change the situation much, especially for a long-term portfolio! The ascending lines on Total 2 and Total 3 were also achieved and tested on the squiz, a re-test took place precisely along the Fibonacci lines and not a physical re-test. It also says that we are very very close to the bottom or already at the bottom. Since even the fibonacci line of 0.618 is already suitable for re-testing and determining the day. But still, the bottom is the zone between 0.618 and 0.786 fibonacci lines.

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