3 months ago
π Weekly Outlook Charts Sep 2-6:
$BTC $SOL $ETH $WIF
Markets just took a turn π
What happened and where are we going?
Bull over? π
Heres what you need to know: π
π¨Market Breadth is flashing warning signs, with MMMTH, MMMFI, and MMMTW indicators suggesting a potential rotation out of risk. When combined with other indicators such as market fear/greed being neutral, AAII sentiment being 2% off its 1 year bullish high, its likely we will see a rotation out of risk such as crypto - paving a short opportunity for risky assets in crypto (political tokens, meme tokens etc)
https://www.tradingview.co.../
π #DXY retest of trend line on broad market pullbacks/weakness. Bearish continuation expected until EOY. Short term upside, longer term downside. 96 on DXY still on the table.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
π #SPY breadth is peaking on the 200, 50, and 20 D (see market breadth above)
When the market is running low on breadth, there will be some rotation or correction. Selling expensive stocks for cheaper ones (most likely cyclical's) will cause some selling pressure on the bigger names like NVDA, AAPL etc. Expect sidways choppiness for the majority of the market.
Ichimoku still indicating bullish continuation. Q4 will be good. Target at 6000 remains.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
β½οΈ #USOIL staring its trend toward $61 oil as expected. It would have to be an alarming geopolitical situation to turn the course of OIL back up
https://www.tradingview.co.../
β οΈ #btc bulls be very cautious here!
Bear case:
1. SPY breadth running out of steem
2. SPY seasonal weakness in September
3. BTC is below 20 W EMA, 50/200 D MA bearish cross
4. BTC Weekly close below the ichimoku cloud.
Still possible for a 70k retest at trendline, but Bear case outweighs the bull base
https://www.tradingview.co.../
π #eth still lagging behind. Alts in general will enjoy a beating as BTC chops/declines.
2k retest is on the horizon.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
$BTC $SOL $ETH $WIF
Markets just took a turn π
What happened and where are we going?
Bull over? π
Heres what you need to know: π
π¨Market Breadth is flashing warning signs, with MMMTH, MMMFI, and MMMTW indicators suggesting a potential rotation out of risk. When combined with other indicators such as market fear/greed being neutral, AAII sentiment being 2% off its 1 year bullish high, its likely we will see a rotation out of risk such as crypto - paving a short opportunity for risky assets in crypto (political tokens, meme tokens etc)
https://www.tradingview.co.../
π #DXY retest of trend line on broad market pullbacks/weakness. Bearish continuation expected until EOY. Short term upside, longer term downside. 96 on DXY still on the table.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
π #SPY breadth is peaking on the 200, 50, and 20 D (see market breadth above)
When the market is running low on breadth, there will be some rotation or correction. Selling expensive stocks for cheaper ones (most likely cyclical's) will cause some selling pressure on the bigger names like NVDA, AAPL etc. Expect sidways choppiness for the majority of the market.
Ichimoku still indicating bullish continuation. Q4 will be good. Target at 6000 remains.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
β½οΈ #USOIL staring its trend toward $61 oil as expected. It would have to be an alarming geopolitical situation to turn the course of OIL back up
https://www.tradingview.co.../
β οΈ #btc bulls be very cautious here!
Bear case:
1. SPY breadth running out of steem
2. SPY seasonal weakness in September
3. BTC is below 20 W EMA, 50/200 D MA bearish cross
4. BTC Weekly close below the ichimoku cloud.
Still possible for a 70k retest at trendline, but Bear case outweighs the bull base
https://www.tradingview.co.../
π #eth still lagging behind. Alts in general will enjoy a beating as BTC chops/declines.
2k retest is on the horizon.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
Weekly Outlook Sep 2-6 (Breadth Indicators) for INDEX:MMTH by SolenyaResearch β TradingView
In the top chart we have INDEX:MMTH which shows how many stocks are above their 200 D MA expressed as a percentage. When 70% or more of stocks are above their 200 D MA, it can be seen as over exuberance which can lead to a short term decline as investors take profits on riskier stocks to rotate in l..
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/MMTH/pJU7vnfN-Weekly-Outlook-Sep-2-6-Breadth-Indicators/
3 months ago
π Weekly Outlook Charts Aug 26-30:
We're expecting some exciting market movements this week. Here's what you need to know:
#DXY is still falling as forecasted, but a bullish divergence is forming on daily charts. Consolidation above 100 levels is possible. https://www.tradingview.co... π
#SPY pricing in Fed cuts, consolidation expected until Friday's PCE numbers. Trend still bullish, but uncertainty around Fed's move. https://www.tradingview.co.../ π
#USOIL breakout possible from ascending triangle, but depends on geopolitical tensions. If there's no escalation, $67 oil still on the table. [Weekly outlook chart for USOIL: https://www.tradingview.co.../ π‘
#btc traders should exercise caution due to mixed technical and an unfavorable Risk/Reward ratio. It's best to wait for a breakout above $70k . Consolidation may last for months, so patience is key.
https://www.tradingview.co.../π
#eth is looking more bearish, struggling to break resistance. If $BTC is rejected from $70k again, expect $ETH to test $2k or lower.
https://www.tradingview.co... π¨
We're expecting some exciting market movements this week. Here's what you need to know:
#DXY is still falling as forecasted, but a bullish divergence is forming on daily charts. Consolidation above 100 levels is possible. https://www.tradingview.co... π
#SPY pricing in Fed cuts, consolidation expected until Friday's PCE numbers. Trend still bullish, but uncertainty around Fed's move. https://www.tradingview.co.../ π
#USOIL breakout possible from ascending triangle, but depends on geopolitical tensions. If there's no escalation, $67 oil still on the table. [Weekly outlook chart for USOIL: https://www.tradingview.co.../ π‘
#btc traders should exercise caution due to mixed technical and an unfavorable Risk/Reward ratio. It's best to wait for a breakout above $70k . Consolidation may last for months, so patience is key.
https://www.tradingview.co.../π
#eth is looking more bearish, struggling to break resistance. If $BTC is rejected from $70k again, expect $ETH to test $2k or lower.
https://www.tradingview.co... π¨
4 months ago
π Weekly Outlook Charts Aug 19-23:
#DXY still grinding lower. Nothing much has changed since last week. Global PMI data and subsequent labor market data in UK, France, Germany, USA will have an impact on fed cut expectations and by proxy risk assets including the dollar.
The Annual Jackson Hole meeting is this week as well. Surely there will be some volatility. My best guess is Powell restating the fact that the fight against inflation is almost over and focus on labor market data will be prioritized going forward to initiate the 'soft landing'
https://www.tradingview.co.../
Within 2 weeks since the yen unwinding, we are just a couple percentage points off the highs. The vast volatility has me a bit suspicious. Since we are back above the cloud, confirms bullish continuation, however I suspect this week we might range around 5600 on #SPY due to heavy news flow this week.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
Seems like USOIL is closely following DXY most likely due to concerns of global economic growth.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
#btc still lagging risk assets in tradfi markets. Not bullish again until daily closes above the cloud. Still ranging. Not particularly interested here
https://www.tradingview.co.../
#eth is still struggling to pass resistance. Must be patient
https://www.tradingview.co.../
#DXY still grinding lower. Nothing much has changed since last week. Global PMI data and subsequent labor market data in UK, France, Germany, USA will have an impact on fed cut expectations and by proxy risk assets including the dollar.
The Annual Jackson Hole meeting is this week as well. Surely there will be some volatility. My best guess is Powell restating the fact that the fight against inflation is almost over and focus on labor market data will be prioritized going forward to initiate the 'soft landing'
https://www.tradingview.co.../
Within 2 weeks since the yen unwinding, we are just a couple percentage points off the highs. The vast volatility has me a bit suspicious. Since we are back above the cloud, confirms bullish continuation, however I suspect this week we might range around 5600 on #SPY due to heavy news flow this week.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
Seems like USOIL is closely following DXY most likely due to concerns of global economic growth.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
#btc still lagging risk assets in tradfi markets. Not bullish again until daily closes above the cloud. Still ranging. Not particularly interested here
https://www.tradingview.co.../
#eth is still struggling to pass resistance. Must be patient
https://www.tradingview.co.../
6 months ago
(E)
π Weekly Outlook Charts: June 10-14 π
$DXY strong rally off employment data, but revisions & FED rate cut decisions may impact. Resistance at 105-106; a close above invalidates my forecast. Central banks easing policies could push $DXY down. π²
https://www.tradingview.co.../
π $SPY facing daily bearish divergence, but no fundamental changes for trend reversal. 5600 target remains. π
https://www.tradingview.co.../
π’ $USOIL strong rally, but downside potential remains. π‘
https://www.tradingview.co.../
$DXY strong rally off employment data, but revisions & FED rate cut decisions may impact. Resistance at 105-106; a close above invalidates my forecast. Central banks easing policies could push $DXY down. π²
https://www.tradingview.co.../
π $SPY facing daily bearish divergence, but no fundamental changes for trend reversal. 5600 target remains. π
https://www.tradingview.co.../
π’ $USOIL strong rally, but downside potential remains. π‘
https://www.tradingview.co.../
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