2 days ago
Over 10x on stacy. Will be selling some at 10mil. The trail has been already blazed by gigachad. The team and community is amazing. So I belief we can go higher than this
8 days ago
After the euphoric highs of Q2, fear and doubt have crept back into crypto markets in recent months.
Amidst the uncertainty Solana’s DeFi ecosystem has shed layers of TVL (Total Value Locked), with the majority of protocol’s losing between 13-18% in USD value on a monthly time frame.
However, despite the market-wide pullback, outperformers have emerged. Which protocols created a liquidity vacuum and expanded their TVL despite ailing markets?
NX FINANCE, LULO LEAD MONTHLY TVL GROWTH
Solana’s DeFi scene has enjoyed newfound momentum and attention throughout 2024. However, the last 30 days indicate a charge in sentiment, with the bulk of Solana protocols suffering significant drops in their TVL.
Despite challenging conditions, several outliers have outperformed the wider market and witnessed continued growth in the face of adversity.
Lending aggregator NX Finance led the charge, enjoying consistent growth in the face of difficult markets. Courtesy of its incentivized rewards program, NX Finance TVL rose 65% in the last 30 days, leading Solana’s top 50 DeFi applications by TVL.
Meanwhile, fellow lending aggregator Lulo Finance continued to rise through the ranks, securing over $30M in Directed Liquidity (DL). With over 92% of its DL, a similar metric similar to TVL, held in stablecoins, Lulo-managed value has increased by 32.27% in the last 30 days.
At first glance, DeFiLlama data suggests that Jupiter’s TVL has risen by 47.22% in the last 30 days. However, this increase is due to the popular analytics platform integrating $jupSOL into Jupiter’s total TVL on August 16, adding approximately $300M worth of funds to the platform.
According to Step Finance data, $jupSOL supply has risen 0.36% in the last 30 days. Coupled with the 2.22% decline in Jupiter perpetual TVL in the same time period, it can be concluded that Jupiter’s total TVL has remained relatively stable in the face of challenging market conditions.
Kamino TVL Climbs Despite Falling Prices
Kamino Finance has been one of Solana DeFi’s most solid performers throughout Q3’s volatility. While lending aggregators like NX Finance and Lulo predominantly hold stablecoins, making them more resilient to market downturn, Kamino accepts deposits from a wider range of more volatile assets.
Despite falling asset prices across the industry, Kamino has emerged as one of Solana’s standout DeFi protocols.
While $SOL price has dropped over 36% since its March 18 high of $202 , Kamino TVL has increased by 12% in USD terms. Denominated in SOL, Kamino TVL has risen by 76% in the same time frame.
JUPITER DOMINATES PERPETUAL TVL ACROSS THE INDUSTRY
Jupiter’s perpetual DEX platform shows no sign of relinquishing its iron grip on derivatives dominance. One of Solana’s largest DeFi protocols, Jupiter’s perpetual DEX is currently the largest onchain derivatives market in the crypto industry.
Boasting over $657M in TVL, Jupiter dominates perpetual market share. According to DeFiLlama data, the Solana-based platform currently accounts for 18.82% of onchain derivatives TVL across the industry.
While Jupiter boasts the highest TVL across all perpetual DEXes, its closest rival still witnesses higher trading volumes. During August, Hyperliquid handled $34 .6B in trading volume compared to Jupiter’s $15 .1B. It’s worth noting that Hyperliquid’s high volume could attributed to its points program, which is expected to influence token allocations ahead of the protocol’s upcoming airdrop
Amidst the uncertainty Solana’s DeFi ecosystem has shed layers of TVL (Total Value Locked), with the majority of protocol’s losing between 13-18% in USD value on a monthly time frame.
However, despite the market-wide pullback, outperformers have emerged. Which protocols created a liquidity vacuum and expanded their TVL despite ailing markets?
NX FINANCE, LULO LEAD MONTHLY TVL GROWTH
Solana’s DeFi scene has enjoyed newfound momentum and attention throughout 2024. However, the last 30 days indicate a charge in sentiment, with the bulk of Solana protocols suffering significant drops in their TVL.
Despite challenging conditions, several outliers have outperformed the wider market and witnessed continued growth in the face of adversity.
Lending aggregator NX Finance led the charge, enjoying consistent growth in the face of difficult markets. Courtesy of its incentivized rewards program, NX Finance TVL rose 65% in the last 30 days, leading Solana’s top 50 DeFi applications by TVL.
Meanwhile, fellow lending aggregator Lulo Finance continued to rise through the ranks, securing over $30M in Directed Liquidity (DL). With over 92% of its DL, a similar metric similar to TVL, held in stablecoins, Lulo-managed value has increased by 32.27% in the last 30 days.
At first glance, DeFiLlama data suggests that Jupiter’s TVL has risen by 47.22% in the last 30 days. However, this increase is due to the popular analytics platform integrating $jupSOL into Jupiter’s total TVL on August 16, adding approximately $300M worth of funds to the platform.
According to Step Finance data, $jupSOL supply has risen 0.36% in the last 30 days. Coupled with the 2.22% decline in Jupiter perpetual TVL in the same time period, it can be concluded that Jupiter’s total TVL has remained relatively stable in the face of challenging market conditions.
Kamino TVL Climbs Despite Falling Prices
Kamino Finance has been one of Solana DeFi’s most solid performers throughout Q3’s volatility. While lending aggregators like NX Finance and Lulo predominantly hold stablecoins, making them more resilient to market downturn, Kamino accepts deposits from a wider range of more volatile assets.
Despite falling asset prices across the industry, Kamino has emerged as one of Solana’s standout DeFi protocols.
While $SOL price has dropped over 36% since its March 18 high of $202 , Kamino TVL has increased by 12% in USD terms. Denominated in SOL, Kamino TVL has risen by 76% in the same time frame.
JUPITER DOMINATES PERPETUAL TVL ACROSS THE INDUSTRY
Jupiter’s perpetual DEX platform shows no sign of relinquishing its iron grip on derivatives dominance. One of Solana’s largest DeFi protocols, Jupiter’s perpetual DEX is currently the largest onchain derivatives market in the crypto industry.
Boasting over $657M in TVL, Jupiter dominates perpetual market share. According to DeFiLlama data, the Solana-based platform currently accounts for 18.82% of onchain derivatives TVL across the industry.
While Jupiter boasts the highest TVL across all perpetual DEXes, its closest rival still witnesses higher trading volumes. During August, Hyperliquid handled $34 .6B in trading volume compared to Jupiter’s $15 .1B. It’s worth noting that Hyperliquid’s high volume could attributed to its points program, which is expected to influence token allocations ahead of the protocol’s upcoming airdrop
11 days ago
💥 US banks have 7x more unrealized losses than during the 2008 crisis.
To mop up bankruptcies, massive inflows of capital will be needed.
This is when all assets will explode higher thanks to money printing.
#Bitcoin
To mop up bankruptcies, massive inflows of capital will be needed.
This is when all assets will explode higher thanks to money printing.
#Bitcoin
13 days ago
https://pump.fun/8bPJJ4oEP... seems to be a good cook, fwog and trump narrative, we hold strongly, got bunch of jeets on the road but reaching higher lows
twomp (twomp) - Pump
make amewica gweat again
https://pump.fun/8bPJJ4oEPYXFYBJWiajKgi9JhQPKP1VYZmHw4Xjgpump
15 days ago
Marinade Finance, one of Solana’s original staking providers, has found itself in hot water with validator operators.
Validators argue that Marinade’s new Stake Auction Marketplace (SAM) harms the staking landscape, allowing malicious actors to thrive at the expense of honest validators.
Beyond losing stake in the network, chagrined validators suggest that, left unchecked, the SAM model is a threat to decentralization and Solana’s scalability moving forward.
Marinade has dismissed these accusations. Countering claims of apathetic negligence, Marinade argues those who criticize the new system do so out of spite.
Is this a case of willful blindness, or are validators looking for a scapegoat to blame for their own shortcomings?
WHY ARE VALIDATORS UPSET?
Once heralded as a powerful new model that would push staking APY to new heights, the SAM has drawn scorn and skepticism from certain validators. Marinade’s SAM enables validators to bid on network stake, with winners securing stake and passing on elevated rewards to delegators.
To win auctions, validators competitively bid on network stake. However, surging demand for stake has driven validators to bid at potentially unsustainable levels. In previous epochs, winning validators needed to yield over 10% APY to win auctions, a rate considered impossible to achieve through native staking alone.
This has led certain operators to speculate on how these validators can afford such high bids. Suggesting that such yield can only be achieved through malicious activities, like sandwich attacks, private mempools, and off-chain deals, some validators argue that Marinade is turning a blind eye to dishonest validators.
Distressed validators have created analytics dashboards to express their frustrations and support their claims. Hanabi’s ‘Marinade Stake Selling’ dashboard highlights that a number of validators flagged for malicious activity have won stake through the SAM.
Responding to accusations levied by third-party dashboard creators, Marinade CEO Michael Repetny argues “Hanabi lacks any methodology, they only copy labels from other Stakewiz dashboard to call it a day.”
Adding further context to the claims of disgruntled operators, Repetny affirms “Hanabi lost 1M SOL from Marinade so it’s understandable he fights the new system.”
Concerned validators have taken to Marinade’s Discord server to air their grievances. Operators have claimed that, through the SAM, over 2.7M SOL has been staked to questionable validators, including sybils and sandwiches. Disgruntled operators even suggested “Marinade wants you to have side deals, ethical or not.”
Additionally, validators have argued that if “most of the mSOL pool is delegated to unethical validators it’s a really bad look for the Solana ecosystem.”
In an exclusive statement with SolanaFloor, Max Kaplan, Head of Engineering at Edgevana, credits Marinade for trying something inventive that “had never been done before”.
However, Kaplan admits that Marinade “went full capitalist… basically, the highest bidder wins. Marinade doesn’t really care if a validator bids for stake and is just gonna lose money on that stake, that’s not their problem… They’re happy to take the money and give that to mSOL holders.”
Experts argue that in current conditions, staking yield over 10% simply isn’t sustainable. Kaplan contends “10% APY is higher than the native staking yield that is paid out on chain. The money has to come from somewhere.”
Without making any accusations, Kaplan theorizes that additional yield could potentially come from a validator’s own “marketing/growth budget” or other sources like “SWQoS / private mempool deals”.
Responding to any accusations, Repetny reinforces Marinade's stance that “SAM provides the best yield on the market for delegators. It is not an active policy maker or opinionated strategy to tweak the network.”
Validators argue that Marinade’s new Stake Auction Marketplace (SAM) harms the staking landscape, allowing malicious actors to thrive at the expense of honest validators.
Beyond losing stake in the network, chagrined validators suggest that, left unchecked, the SAM model is a threat to decentralization and Solana’s scalability moving forward.
Marinade has dismissed these accusations. Countering claims of apathetic negligence, Marinade argues those who criticize the new system do so out of spite.
Is this a case of willful blindness, or are validators looking for a scapegoat to blame for their own shortcomings?
WHY ARE VALIDATORS UPSET?
Once heralded as a powerful new model that would push staking APY to new heights, the SAM has drawn scorn and skepticism from certain validators. Marinade’s SAM enables validators to bid on network stake, with winners securing stake and passing on elevated rewards to delegators.
To win auctions, validators competitively bid on network stake. However, surging demand for stake has driven validators to bid at potentially unsustainable levels. In previous epochs, winning validators needed to yield over 10% APY to win auctions, a rate considered impossible to achieve through native staking alone.
This has led certain operators to speculate on how these validators can afford such high bids. Suggesting that such yield can only be achieved through malicious activities, like sandwich attacks, private mempools, and off-chain deals, some validators argue that Marinade is turning a blind eye to dishonest validators.
Distressed validators have created analytics dashboards to express their frustrations and support their claims. Hanabi’s ‘Marinade Stake Selling’ dashboard highlights that a number of validators flagged for malicious activity have won stake through the SAM.
Responding to accusations levied by third-party dashboard creators, Marinade CEO Michael Repetny argues “Hanabi lacks any methodology, they only copy labels from other Stakewiz dashboard to call it a day.”
Adding further context to the claims of disgruntled operators, Repetny affirms “Hanabi lost 1M SOL from Marinade so it’s understandable he fights the new system.”
Concerned validators have taken to Marinade’s Discord server to air their grievances. Operators have claimed that, through the SAM, over 2.7M SOL has been staked to questionable validators, including sybils and sandwiches. Disgruntled operators even suggested “Marinade wants you to have side deals, ethical or not.”
Additionally, validators have argued that if “most of the mSOL pool is delegated to unethical validators it’s a really bad look for the Solana ecosystem.”
In an exclusive statement with SolanaFloor, Max Kaplan, Head of Engineering at Edgevana, credits Marinade for trying something inventive that “had never been done before”.
However, Kaplan admits that Marinade “went full capitalist… basically, the highest bidder wins. Marinade doesn’t really care if a validator bids for stake and is just gonna lose money on that stake, that’s not their problem… They’re happy to take the money and give that to mSOL holders.”
Experts argue that in current conditions, staking yield over 10% simply isn’t sustainable. Kaplan contends “10% APY is higher than the native staking yield that is paid out on chain. The money has to come from somewhere.”
Without making any accusations, Kaplan theorizes that additional yield could potentially come from a validator’s own “marketing/growth budget” or other sources like “SWQoS / private mempool deals”.
Responding to any accusations, Repetny reinforces Marinade's stance that “SAM provides the best yield on the market for delegators. It is not an active policy maker or opinionated strategy to tweak the network.”
15 days ago
Continuing to defy the expectations of the wider crypto market, Solana has outperformed digital asset rivals like Bitcoin ($BTC) and Ethereum ($ETH).
During a forgettable week for crypto markets, Solana has bucked the bearish trend, enjoying positive inflows amidst a sea of red.
SOL LEADS WEEKLY INFLOWS ACROSS TOP DIGITAL ASSETS
While much of the crypto market succumbed to bearish forces last week, Solana showed plenty of resilience. According to CoinShares data, Solana digital asset products attracted over $7 .6M in net inflows, outperforming both Bitcoin (-$319M) and Layer 1 rival Ethereum (-$5.7M).
However, despite positive inflows in digital asset products, $SOL price suffered a significant decline. Over the past week, Solana has dropped 15.45%, sliding from $157 .2 to currently exchange hands at $132 .91, based on Step Finance data.
In this sense, Solana has underperformed both $BTC and $ETH , which lost 7.5% and 7.3% respectively over the same period.
The diverging trends highlight a curious dynamic. Despite Solana suffering a more significant price drop than both $BTC and $ETH , institutional inflows for Solana-based digital asset products were positive.
Solana’s favorable performance suggests higher demand from institutional investors and traders, who are taking advantage of turbulent market conditions to establish positions heading into Q4.
Alternatively, the comparatively smaller range of Solana-based products allows for a reduced sample size, which could skew results. The abundance and accessibility of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs mean that these assets are likely to witness more consistent trading behavior.
MONTHLY STABLECOIN INFLOWS INCREASE BY 21%
Beyond positive digital asset product inflows, the Solana network also enjoyed increased stablecoin flows.
Having continually grown throughout 2024, Solana’s monthly stablecoin inflows increased by 21%, rising from $371M in July to $449M in August.
The growth indicates a growing desire for greater liquidity onchain. The trend is further supported by an increase in the total value of bridged assets arriving on the Solana network.
According to data provided by deBridge and Artemis, over $345M worth of assets were bridged to Solana from alternative chains, a 23% increase from the $280M bridged in July. August’s bridge traffic included over $279M from Ethereum, the industry’s largest Layer 1 network.
The inflow of capital suggests that investors and traders could be eager to establish positions in both Solana’s thriving DeFi scene and the ecosystem’s native tokens. With increased liquidity arriving onchain, network participants hope that the Solana ecosystem can maintain its bullish trajectory in Q4.
During a forgettable week for crypto markets, Solana has bucked the bearish trend, enjoying positive inflows amidst a sea of red.
SOL LEADS WEEKLY INFLOWS ACROSS TOP DIGITAL ASSETS
While much of the crypto market succumbed to bearish forces last week, Solana showed plenty of resilience. According to CoinShares data, Solana digital asset products attracted over $7 .6M in net inflows, outperforming both Bitcoin (-$319M) and Layer 1 rival Ethereum (-$5.7M).
However, despite positive inflows in digital asset products, $SOL price suffered a significant decline. Over the past week, Solana has dropped 15.45%, sliding from $157 .2 to currently exchange hands at $132 .91, based on Step Finance data.
In this sense, Solana has underperformed both $BTC and $ETH , which lost 7.5% and 7.3% respectively over the same period.
The diverging trends highlight a curious dynamic. Despite Solana suffering a more significant price drop than both $BTC and $ETH , institutional inflows for Solana-based digital asset products were positive.
Solana’s favorable performance suggests higher demand from institutional investors and traders, who are taking advantage of turbulent market conditions to establish positions heading into Q4.
Alternatively, the comparatively smaller range of Solana-based products allows for a reduced sample size, which could skew results. The abundance and accessibility of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs mean that these assets are likely to witness more consistent trading behavior.
MONTHLY STABLECOIN INFLOWS INCREASE BY 21%
Beyond positive digital asset product inflows, the Solana network also enjoyed increased stablecoin flows.
Having continually grown throughout 2024, Solana’s monthly stablecoin inflows increased by 21%, rising from $371M in July to $449M in August.
The growth indicates a growing desire for greater liquidity onchain. The trend is further supported by an increase in the total value of bridged assets arriving on the Solana network.
According to data provided by deBridge and Artemis, over $345M worth of assets were bridged to Solana from alternative chains, a 23% increase from the $280M bridged in July. August’s bridge traffic included over $279M from Ethereum, the industry’s largest Layer 1 network.
The inflow of capital suggests that investors and traders could be eager to establish positions in both Solana’s thriving DeFi scene and the ecosystem’s native tokens. With increased liquidity arriving onchain, network participants hope that the Solana ecosystem can maintain its bullish trajectory in Q4.
21 days ago
Daily Memecoin Recap - August 27
Volume was slow today with $btc & $sol decreasing
Cat Meta
$smh -> $1 .15m to $3m (2.6x), "So Much Higher"
$sicko -> $200k to $1 .35m (6.75x), heavily pushed today
$mood -> hit $520k , twitter community instead of an account
Dog Meta
$spikedog -> hit $625k , "4chan dog", good meme
$updog -> hit $335k , $bane CTO lead (ATH $7m ), CTO
Tron Memes
$biao -> $3m to $6 .5m (2.2x), famous Chinese meme
$elmo -> hit $8m , heavily pushed by KOLs, based on elmo
$vangogh -> hit $4 .1m, based on a justinsuntron tweet
More Cooks On $sol
$deebo -> $230k to $1 .55m (6.7x)
$money -> hit $580k , "Just give me my money"
$that -> hit $530k , "tinfoil hat",
$sym -> hit $390k , "Symphony", CTO
$mp3 -> hit $350k , "mood: Printing Trillions", twitter community instead of an account
Traditional markets are historically low volume during summer -> Crypto majors follow -> Memecoins follow
Looking for a push sometime into end of year, for now patience is key, focus on quality over quantity
Volume was slow today with $btc & $sol decreasing
Cat Meta
$smh -> $1 .15m to $3m (2.6x), "So Much Higher"
$sicko -> $200k to $1 .35m (6.75x), heavily pushed today
$mood -> hit $520k , twitter community instead of an account
Dog Meta
$spikedog -> hit $625k , "4chan dog", good meme
$updog -> hit $335k , $bane CTO lead (ATH $7m ), CTO
Tron Memes
$biao -> $3m to $6 .5m (2.2x), famous Chinese meme
$elmo -> hit $8m , heavily pushed by KOLs, based on elmo
$vangogh -> hit $4 .1m, based on a justinsuntron tweet
More Cooks On $sol
$deebo -> $230k to $1 .55m (6.7x)
$money -> hit $580k , "Just give me my money"
$that -> hit $530k , "tinfoil hat",
$sym -> hit $390k , "Symphony", CTO
$mp3 -> hit $350k , "mood: Printing Trillions", twitter community instead of an account
Traditional markets are historically low volume during summer -> Crypto majors follow -> Memecoins follow
Looking for a push sometime into end of year, for now patience is key, focus on quality over quantity
22 days ago
Daily Memecoin Recap - August 26
Volume is scattered across $sol & $trx
A Social Experiment
$cabal -> hit $910k , good concept, 10 KOLs were airdropped 2% supply each to see who would dump and who would hold
Youtube Dog
$sdog -> hit $600k , "The first meme coin fully built on top of youtube video"
Vibes Gains Traction
$vibes -> $803k to $8 .4m (10.4x), blknoiz06 tweeted about it, seeing it all over the timeline
So Much Higher
$smh -> hit $2 .8m, bundled, a lot of KOLs on board, experienced team
Sol Payments In GTA 6
$krill -> hit $440k , CTO
- A leak came out
- The leak says that GTA 6 will have an in game currency "skrilla", which will allow users to directly transact with other plays
- The leak claims that it will be powered by the top 10 cryptocurrencies
More Cooks
$deebo -> $180k to $790k (4.4x), "Deebo the Bear", CTO
$degh -> $63k to $630k (10x), redacted dog meme
$dp -> hit $1 .3m, "Daquavious Pork", CTO, based on viral tiktok videos
$euphoria -> hit $550k
$3dog -> hit $545k , "3D Dog"
$sicko -> hit $370k , "Sicko Mode", cat meme
$perro -> hit $325k , dog meme
Did you cook? 🍜
Volume is scattered across $sol & $trx
A Social Experiment
$cabal -> hit $910k , good concept, 10 KOLs were airdropped 2% supply each to see who would dump and who would hold
Youtube Dog
$sdog -> hit $600k , "The first meme coin fully built on top of youtube video"
Vibes Gains Traction
$vibes -> $803k to $8 .4m (10.4x), blknoiz06 tweeted about it, seeing it all over the timeline
So Much Higher
$smh -> hit $2 .8m, bundled, a lot of KOLs on board, experienced team
Sol Payments In GTA 6
$krill -> hit $440k , CTO
- A leak came out
- The leak says that GTA 6 will have an in game currency "skrilla", which will allow users to directly transact with other plays
- The leak claims that it will be powered by the top 10 cryptocurrencies
More Cooks
$deebo -> $180k to $790k (4.4x), "Deebo the Bear", CTO
$degh -> $63k to $630k (10x), redacted dog meme
$dp -> hit $1 .3m, "Daquavious Pork", CTO, based on viral tiktok videos
$euphoria -> hit $550k
$3dog -> hit $545k , "3D Dog"
$sicko -> hit $370k , "Sicko Mode", cat meme
$perro -> hit $325k , dog meme
Did you cook? 🍜
22 days ago
BTC, locally a resistance zone, has become a support. Marked in pale green on the graph. BUT this support is weak, due to the line of the ascending pattern, see the chart. At the moment, a setup has been formed with local level compression. also look at the chart, local resistance. Bitcoin is now almost at the end of this setup. Getting out of it in the next couple of days. A breakdown of the local resistance zone will send the price higher to the upper limit of the pattern. So a breakdown downwards will send the price at least to the local support zone. Such patterns make their way in both directions, As a minimum setup from August 20, 1 goal worked out. Most often, recently, the working out of such patterns has been down. But at least you need to wait for the breakdown. In general, the market has almost recovered, the last touch remained on September 11, inflation data. And after that, the market is free from negativity and fear.
the withdrawal from the exchanges exceeds the input - 2%, 1,400 btc
Altcoins, as well as Bitcoin on September 11, are awaiting data. But still, after the last correction, its bottoms from the beginning of August, many have already gone far enough. The activity of investors and the general mass of traders is at the lowest levels. Many people no longer have faith, almost the majority have sold and left the market. There is also enough metric data - it signals the day or close to it (of course, this data has already been during this month) and for many coins the bottom is more likely already passed! But there are still a lot of coins that can be bought back at an attractive price. I quote Buffett's words "when blood is pouring, buy, when euphoria and everyone is shouting buy and sell"
https://www.tradingview.co.../
the withdrawal from the exchanges exceeds the input - 2%, 1,400 btc
Altcoins, as well as Bitcoin on September 11, are awaiting data. But still, after the last correction, its bottoms from the beginning of August, many have already gone far enough. The activity of investors and the general mass of traders is at the lowest levels. Many people no longer have faith, almost the majority have sold and left the market. There is also enough metric data - it signals the day or close to it (of course, this data has already been during this month) and for many coins the bottom is more likely already passed! But there are still a lot of coins that can be bought back at an attractive price. I quote Buffett's words "when blood is pouring, buy, when euphoria and everyone is shouting buy and sell"
https://www.tradingview.co.../
23 days ago
BTC came out of the local flat of 58,000-62,700, but there was no consolidation higher on the daily timeframe if you look at the candles after the breakdown candle. We see that there are 2 candlesticks of uncertainty. It is understood that they were on the weekend, and recently there have been small volumes on weekends. Also, the level of 62,700 remained open. There was also no re-test of the flat breakdown. If we do not see further growth today, it is more likely that the 62,700 level will be re-tested. Which is very logical. Let me also remind you that the main growth will begin after the breakdown of the pattern and the resistance zone of 70,000-73,000.
the withdrawal from the exchanges exceeds the input - 15%, 1,000 btc
Altcoins, since the squiz on August 5th, many altcoins have grown significantly. Some gave more than two x's. But still, these are only local movements, the main growth will begin after the breakdown of the descending lines on the capitalization of altcoins and the breakdown of the resistance level for Bitcoin. On September 11, there will be data on US inflation, after which it will be safe to say that the rate will be lowered on September 18.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
the withdrawal from the exchanges exceeds the input - 15%, 1,000 btc
Altcoins, since the squiz on August 5th, many altcoins have grown significantly. Some gave more than two x's. But still, these are only local movements, the main growth will begin after the breakdown of the descending lines on the capitalization of altcoins and the breakdown of the resistance level for Bitcoin. On September 11, there will be data on US inflation, after which it will be safe to say that the rate will be lowered on September 18.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
25 days ago
BTC, against the background of a fairly positive speech by Powell of the US Federal Reserve, that it was time to change the Fed's policy and start lowering rates, the data we will receive on inflation on September 11 will give confidence in further rate cuts at subsequent Fed meetings.
Bitcoin has broken through the local resistance level against this background, we are moving along the setup that was written on the 20th. Slowly but surely we are moving towards the 70,000-73,000 mark, after which a new round of growth will begin. But still, this requires a pin on a weekly tamframe.
the withdrawal from the exchanges exceeds the input - 35%, 11,000 btc
Significant volumes!
Altcoins have grown significantly from the lower level of the squiz on August 5th. Some have already risen 2 x higher. While the waiters were waiting below. We bought in the VIP channel, and he already sees the result in our deposit! There is still a part of the fiat free, but I will not use it yet, it will probably increase the deposit in the x125 group for trading speculative transactions. I will let you know about it closer to September 11.
Altcoins have also come close to important downward trends in the capitalization of altcoins. The breakdown and closing above will already give a more significant increase in altcoins, and those entry points that we had for coins, many will already start biting their elbows! Patience is a profit!
https://www.tradingview.co.../
Bitcoin has broken through the local resistance level against this background, we are moving along the setup that was written on the 20th. Slowly but surely we are moving towards the 70,000-73,000 mark, after which a new round of growth will begin. But still, this requires a pin on a weekly tamframe.
the withdrawal from the exchanges exceeds the input - 35%, 11,000 btc
Significant volumes!
Altcoins have grown significantly from the lower level of the squiz on August 5th. Some have already risen 2 x higher. While the waiters were waiting below. We bought in the VIP channel, and he already sees the result in our deposit! There is still a part of the fiat free, but I will not use it yet, it will probably increase the deposit in the x125 group for trading speculative transactions. I will let you know about it closer to September 11.
Altcoins have also come close to important downward trends in the capitalization of altcoins. The breakdown and closing above will already give a more significant increase in altcoins, and those entry points that we had for coins, many will already start biting their elbows! Patience is a profit!
https://www.tradingview.co.../
25 days ago
Daily Memecoin Recap - August 23
Crypto is pumping
$btc closes +6% today
$eth & $sol follow at +5% and +7% respectively
Runners Of The Day
$ptc -> $880k to $2 .7m (3.06x), 70% of supply burnt, paper drawings of $btc
$ufo -> hit $2 .4m, decent team, heavily sniped on launch
$sym -> hit $1 .65m, "the most symmetrical dog on Solana",
$nibo -> hit $1 .2m, large buys on launch, decent team, dog meme
$susdog -> hit $950k , based on a viral suspicious dog meme
Smoking Chicken Fish Gains Volume
$scf -> $19m to $83m (4.4x from the low), reversal, banger video drop, team is heavily dedicated
$sed -> $500k to $1 .95m (3.9x), beta to $scf , has been slow cooking since its launch on August 20th, heavy push today following $sc
Fwog Making Higher Highs
$fwog -> $10m to $28m (2.8x),
- Community continues to get stronger
- Some of the best art in the space
- Great background story (dev rugged -> artist/community relaunch)
Utility Play
$chat -> $5m to $18m (3.6x from the low), ATH $174m , shilled by MarioNawfal
Other Cooks
$ong -> $400k to $1 .94m (4.85x), "On God", gen z/tiktok meta, was dead but slowly reviving, ATH is $25m
$afc -> hit $440k , "Airforce Chicken"
$bb -> hit $435k , "Bubble Buddies", based on a spongebob character, twitter community instead of a twitter account
$belief -> hit $375k , influencer coin, dog meme
$mow -> hit $310k , "Monkey On Watermelon"
$kak -> hit $278k , "Kakling Kamala", based on KamalaHarris' laugh, launched on dexscreener's moonshot
$ascend -> hit $240k , cat meme, CTO
The market has been absolutely dead lately, but if majors continue to pump, volume will start to pick up
It's important to consider that September is historically one of the worst months for the market (S&P500)
This doesn't necessarily mean that history will repeat itself, but it is interesting data nonetheless
Lock in 🔒
Crypto is pumping
$btc closes +6% today
$eth & $sol follow at +5% and +7% respectively
Runners Of The Day
$ptc -> $880k to $2 .7m (3.06x), 70% of supply burnt, paper drawings of $btc
$ufo -> hit $2 .4m, decent team, heavily sniped on launch
$sym -> hit $1 .65m, "the most symmetrical dog on Solana",
$nibo -> hit $1 .2m, large buys on launch, decent team, dog meme
$susdog -> hit $950k , based on a viral suspicious dog meme
Smoking Chicken Fish Gains Volume
$scf -> $19m to $83m (4.4x from the low), reversal, banger video drop, team is heavily dedicated
$sed -> $500k to $1 .95m (3.9x), beta to $scf , has been slow cooking since its launch on August 20th, heavy push today following $sc
Fwog Making Higher Highs
$fwog -> $10m to $28m (2.8x),
- Community continues to get stronger
- Some of the best art in the space
- Great background story (dev rugged -> artist/community relaunch)
Utility Play
$chat -> $5m to $18m (3.6x from the low), ATH $174m , shilled by MarioNawfal
Other Cooks
$ong -> $400k to $1 .94m (4.85x), "On God", gen z/tiktok meta, was dead but slowly reviving, ATH is $25m
$afc -> hit $440k , "Airforce Chicken"
$bb -> hit $435k , "Bubble Buddies", based on a spongebob character, twitter community instead of a twitter account
$belief -> hit $375k , influencer coin, dog meme
$mow -> hit $310k , "Monkey On Watermelon"
$kak -> hit $278k , "Kakling Kamala", based on KamalaHarris' laugh, launched on dexscreener's moonshot
$ascend -> hit $240k , cat meme, CTO
The market has been absolutely dead lately, but if majors continue to pump, volume will start to pick up
It's important to consider that September is historically one of the worst months for the market (S&P500)
This doesn't necessarily mean that history will repeat itself, but it is interesting data nonetheless
Lock in 🔒
25 days ago
Pt2 of my Tron memecoins research
Charts and Metrics
— avedex.cc
More flexible settings for indicators, faster price display, generally comfortable to use. It is very important that AVE is PAID (paid, well), analogy with the "pay dex" option. This is a green flag (and sometimes a scammer's trick);
— dextools.io/app/en/tron
I like the page with trending tokens, it displays which tokens are currently experiencing an increase in purchases or the number of transactions. Dextools can also be paid for, which is already a strong green flag for the project, because it costs a grand;
😊 Buy / Trade bots
— Official trading bot from SUNDOG
It's as if $WIF had its own product on Solana. So far, it's fast, quite convenient, there is an autobuy, like in Trojan. A copy of the NFD bot;
— NFD Tron Trade Bot
So far the most basic and convenient bot for trading;
— re:FEE
Part of the network commission can be paid with "energy", and this energy can be rented in such services
Savings from 50% to 80% compared to paying only for TRX.
Commissions in Tron are a separate story. The more transactions per day, the higher the commission. Sometimes, if the energy runs out, when selling a token, a commission of 50 TRX pops up. So just buy energy and fix fat profits, and the commission will not be so important;
🫡 ALERT bots
— t.me/sunpumpmigration
Notifies about token migration from sunpump to sunswap;
So far, imba. In the first 5 minutes of activity, you can often see alpha and catch X from deeps.
Charts and Metrics
— avedex.cc
More flexible settings for indicators, faster price display, generally comfortable to use. It is very important that AVE is PAID (paid, well), analogy with the "pay dex" option. This is a green flag (and sometimes a scammer's trick);
— dextools.io/app/en/tron
I like the page with trending tokens, it displays which tokens are currently experiencing an increase in purchases or the number of transactions. Dextools can also be paid for, which is already a strong green flag for the project, because it costs a grand;
😊 Buy / Trade bots
— Official trading bot from SUNDOG
It's as if $WIF had its own product on Solana. So far, it's fast, quite convenient, there is an autobuy, like in Trojan. A copy of the NFD bot;
— NFD Tron Trade Bot
So far the most basic and convenient bot for trading;
— re:FEE
Part of the network commission can be paid with "energy", and this energy can be rented in such services
Savings from 50% to 80% compared to paying only for TRX.
Commissions in Tron are a separate story. The more transactions per day, the higher the commission. Sometimes, if the energy runs out, when selling a token, a commission of 50 TRX pops up. So just buy energy and fix fat profits, and the commission will not be so important;
🫡 ALERT bots
— t.me/sunpumpmigration
Notifies about token migration from sunpump to sunswap;
So far, imba. In the first 5 minutes of activity, you can often see alpha and catch X from deeps.
27 days ago
GlobaVTS, last night there was an attempt to break through the local resistance zone, which I wrote about earlier in the post. This is 60 000- 62 634 . There was a breakdown, but the fix will no longer be higher. But there is a chance to close the current daily candle above the 60,000 level. Locally, Bitcoin is trading between local support and local resistance - this is a local flat. Tomorrow there will be a report by Jerome Powell of the US Federal Reserve, MM manipulation is possible during the day. The local setup in the post dated August 20 is relevant.
withdrawal from exchanges exceeds input - correlation
Altcoins, yesterday many people noticed how altcoins were added at the moment. That's because there was an increase in Bitcoin in place with the growth of Altcoin Dominance, it increased quite a bit, but it was already very noticeable in numbers. Altcoin recruitment, no more than a month left. Maybe a little more. Many who wait below will remain observers in this cycle, which has just begun. And we are waiting for a significant growth in altcoins. It is clear that some altcoins have already shown significant growth in the medium-term pump, and will not show it in the altseason. Our porphyry will give a significant increase.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
withdrawal from exchanges exceeds input - correlation
Altcoins, yesterday many people noticed how altcoins were added at the moment. That's because there was an increase in Bitcoin in place with the growth of Altcoin Dominance, it increased quite a bit, but it was already very noticeable in numbers. Altcoin recruitment, no more than a month left. Maybe a little more. Many who wait below will remain observers in this cycle, which has just begun. And we are waiting for a significant growth in altcoins. It is clear that some altcoins have already shown significant growth in the medium-term pump, and will not show it in the altseason. Our porphyry will give a significant increase.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
29 days ago
📊 Weekly Outlook August 19-23:
Market focused on Jackson Hole retreat on Friday for clues on rate cuts
News/Sentiment: 📊
• Market focused on Jackson Hole retreat on Friday for clues on rate cuts
• Global PMI data release on Thursday hints at global economic health
• Citi expects 25bps in September and 25bps in November
• Fed minutes from July FOMC to be released on Wednesday
• Labor market data is higher priority than inflation data to determine Fed rate cuts
Events This Week: 📅
Mon:
• 🇪🇺EUR: CPI, German PPI
• 💸 Earnings: Palo Alto ($PANW), Estee Lauder ($EL)
Tue:
• 🇨🇦CAD: CPI
• 🇯🇵JPY: Exports, trade balance
• 💸 Earnings: Lowes $LOW
Wed:
• 🇺🇸US: Fed minutes FOMC, 20-year bond auction
• 💸 Earnings: Tj Maxx $TJX , Target $TGT
Thu:
• Global PMI data
• 🇫🇷FR: Manufacturing/services PMI
• 🇩🇪GER: Manufacturing/services PMI
• 💸 Earnings: Dollar Tree $DLTR
Fri:
• 🇺🇸US: Powell speaks at Jackson Hole at 10am ET, Housing data
Risk Appetite: 😬
• Truflation: 1.42%
• Market fear/greed = 40
• Market breadth = neutral
• Put/call = greed
• Junk bond vs investment grade = extreme fear RiskAppetite
• AAII sentiment: 5% above historical bullish average
• Crypto fear/greed = 28 fear
• High yield bond premium = 3.29% (large decrease)
• High yield effective yield = 7.15% (large decrease)
Market Breadth: 📊
• Percentage of $SPX stocks above 200D MA: = 58% (increase from last week)
• Percentage of $SPX stocks above 50D MA: = 57% (increase from last week)
• Percentage of $SPX stocks above 20D MA: = 50% (substantial increase from last week)
• NASDAQ new highs - new lows = 38
• SPY 52 week highs - 52 week lows =-80
• SPY New highs - New lows = Monthly 68 ; Weekly 19
Other: 📊
• Fed rate monitor tool = 77% probability of 25 bps cut, 23% of 50 BPS cut
Market focused on Jackson Hole retreat on Friday for clues on rate cuts
News/Sentiment: 📊
• Market focused on Jackson Hole retreat on Friday for clues on rate cuts
• Global PMI data release on Thursday hints at global economic health
• Citi expects 25bps in September and 25bps in November
• Fed minutes from July FOMC to be released on Wednesday
• Labor market data is higher priority than inflation data to determine Fed rate cuts
Events This Week: 📅
Mon:
• 🇪🇺EUR: CPI, German PPI
• 💸 Earnings: Palo Alto ($PANW), Estee Lauder ($EL)
Tue:
• 🇨🇦CAD: CPI
• 🇯🇵JPY: Exports, trade balance
• 💸 Earnings: Lowes $LOW
Wed:
• 🇺🇸US: Fed minutes FOMC, 20-year bond auction
• 💸 Earnings: Tj Maxx $TJX , Target $TGT
Thu:
• Global PMI data
• 🇫🇷FR: Manufacturing/services PMI
• 🇩🇪GER: Manufacturing/services PMI
• 💸 Earnings: Dollar Tree $DLTR
Fri:
• 🇺🇸US: Powell speaks at Jackson Hole at 10am ET, Housing data
Risk Appetite: 😬
• Truflation: 1.42%
• Market fear/greed = 40
• Market breadth = neutral
• Put/call = greed
• Junk bond vs investment grade = extreme fear RiskAppetite
• AAII sentiment: 5% above historical bullish average
• Crypto fear/greed = 28 fear
• High yield bond premium = 3.29% (large decrease)
• High yield effective yield = 7.15% (large decrease)
Market Breadth: 📊
• Percentage of $SPX stocks above 200D MA: = 58% (increase from last week)
• Percentage of $SPX stocks above 50D MA: = 57% (increase from last week)
• Percentage of $SPX stocks above 20D MA: = 50% (substantial increase from last week)
• NASDAQ new highs - new lows = 38
• SPY 52 week highs - 52 week lows =-80
• SPY New highs - New lows = Monthly 68 ; Weekly 19
Other: 📊
• Fed rate monitor tool = 77% probability of 25 bps cut, 23% of 50 BPS cut
30 days ago
BTC, over the weekend, Bitcoin practically stood still on small volumes. There was an attempt to storm 60,000, but it failed to break through and gain a foothold higher. For many, it is already good that the price of Bitcoin has not gone into correction, as it was last weekend. The local support zone has been retained so far. But still, Bitcoin is now moving inside the pattern, this is its main movement. As I wrote in previous posts, the main growth should be expected only after the breakdown of the key resistance zone of 70,000-73,000. This week may bring enough manipulation of the whales and the Market Maker, which I use to enter some positions. Let me remind you that this week on Friday there will be a speech by Jerome Powell. Which is able to expand the market. Based on data including inflation received last week.
withdrawal from exchanges exceeds input - correlation
Minimum volumes!
Altcoins, I will use the possible volatility this week to enter some positions that I still want to purchase. Coins with good growth potentials! Let me also remind you that many coins are either at the lower boundary of a wide flat, which has already been happening for two and a half years of crypto winter. The units of coins that came out of it.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
withdrawal from exchanges exceeds input - correlation
Minimum volumes!
Altcoins, I will use the possible volatility this week to enter some positions that I still want to purchase. Coins with good growth potentials! Let me also remind you that many coins are either at the lower boundary of a wide flat, which has already been happening for two and a half years of crypto winter. The units of coins that came out of it.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
1 month ago
⛪ In Colorado, a group of churches tokenizes a chapel worth $2 .5 million.
It could be the world's first tokenized church.
A network of affiliated church groups called the Colorado House of Prayer has tokenized its main chapel in an effort to purchase the building for $2 .5 million.
Pastor Blake Bush said he was compelled by a higher power to use blockchain technology as a tool to advance the group's mission.
“I heard the Lord say, tokenize the building”
It could be the world's first tokenized church.
A network of affiliated church groups called the Colorado House of Prayer has tokenized its main chapel in an effort to purchase the building for $2 .5 million.
Pastor Blake Bush said he was compelled by a higher power to use blockchain technology as a tool to advance the group's mission.
“I heard the Lord say, tokenize the building”
1 month ago
Daily Memecoin Recap - August 15
Memes are following majors, which are following traditional markets
The best advice right now is to not force any trades, patience is a virtue
Runners Of The Day
$aco -> hit $2m , good team, shiba inu girl
$db -> hit $1 .5m, "DogeButt", picture of Kabosu's butt, $doge , 50% of supply sent to blknoiz06
Teams With Large Capital
$fluffi -> hit $10 .6m, dogeofficialceo
used grok to generate a picture, elonmusk reposted it
$analos -> hit $4m , decent content
Zoomer Meta
$sigma -> $3 .5m to $11m (3.14x), first higher high in a while
$demure -> $315k to $2m (6.5x)
$iktfb -> hit $560k , "I know that feeling bro", launched on dexscreener's moonshot
Giga Programmed
$giga -> $60m to $265m (4.4x from the low), new ATH day after day
Dog Memes
$cane -> hit $700k , all dev supply burnt, "dog" in Italian
$gracie -> hit $850k , 1 month old, "Neuralink Dog"
$gringo -> hit $250k
Cat Memes
$mystery -> hit $270k , "lovebeings cat"
$if -> hit $250k , "wat if", cat meme
Other Cooks
$t1500 -> $1 .5m to $4 .5m (3x), new ATH, "TOPG1500", The dev is walking 1500 miles from The UK To Romania to meet the Tate brothers
$feg -> hit $1m , pushed by KOLs
$kunt -> hit $880k , anime type girl
$paul -> hit $800k , CTO, pencil drawing
$poxed -> hit $800k , "Monkey pox"
$abcde -> hit $395k , the alphabet
$reygun -> hit $240k , based on the viral olympic Australian break dancer
$study -> hit $220k , popular word in crypto twitter
Can aeyakovenkosave us?
Memes are following majors, which are following traditional markets
The best advice right now is to not force any trades, patience is a virtue
Runners Of The Day
$aco -> hit $2m , good team, shiba inu girl
$db -> hit $1 .5m, "DogeButt", picture of Kabosu's butt, $doge , 50% of supply sent to blknoiz06
Teams With Large Capital
$fluffi -> hit $10 .6m, dogeofficialceo
used grok to generate a picture, elonmusk reposted it
$analos -> hit $4m , decent content
Zoomer Meta
$sigma -> $3 .5m to $11m (3.14x), first higher high in a while
$demure -> $315k to $2m (6.5x)
$iktfb -> hit $560k , "I know that feeling bro", launched on dexscreener's moonshot
Giga Programmed
$giga -> $60m to $265m (4.4x from the low), new ATH day after day
Dog Memes
$cane -> hit $700k , all dev supply burnt, "dog" in Italian
$gracie -> hit $850k , 1 month old, "Neuralink Dog"
$gringo -> hit $250k
Cat Memes
$mystery -> hit $270k , "lovebeings cat"
$if -> hit $250k , "wat if", cat meme
Other Cooks
$t1500 -> $1 .5m to $4 .5m (3x), new ATH, "TOPG1500", The dev is walking 1500 miles from The UK To Romania to meet the Tate brothers
$feg -> hit $1m , pushed by KOLs
$kunt -> hit $880k , anime type girl
$paul -> hit $800k , CTO, pencil drawing
$poxed -> hit $800k , "Monkey pox"
$abcde -> hit $395k , the alphabet
$reygun -> hit $240k , based on the viral olympic Australian break dancer
$study -> hit $220k , popular word in crypto twitter
Can aeyakovenkosave us?
1 month ago
BTC, the price came to the local support zone, which I wrote about yesterday in the post 57 700-56 175, tested and received a rebound from this level. Locally, in order for the price to go higher to the upper line of the pattern, as well as to the key resistance level, it is necessary to break through and gain a foothold above the 60,000 level and of course break through and gain a foothold above the 62,600 level.
The data that I will send this week was quite positive, for example, the SP500 recovered to a corrective level. And the Bitcoin Market Maker decided to adjust it. Let me remind you that at the moment there is only positive news on the crypto market, absolutely no negativity, in the summer, for example, the same SP500 grew and reached new highs, unlike the crypto market, no events in the world prevented it.
The landing of paper hands continues, faith in cryptocurrency is disappearing for many. It was all the same in the past. Many who have been in previous cycles know what kind of growth awaits us.! we are only at the very beginning of this cycle!
withdrawal from exchanges exceeds input - correlation
Altcoins, for the initial growth, it is necessary to break through the downward trends on the capitalization of altcoins, which we have already approached almost tightly. The correction of Bitcoin Dominance will also help in growth. Paper hands are sold, MM and Whales land weak hands, and at this time they themselves buy off significant volumes. There is not much time left for the good, and many will bite their elbows!
https://www.tradingview.co.../
The data that I will send this week was quite positive, for example, the SP500 recovered to a corrective level. And the Bitcoin Market Maker decided to adjust it. Let me remind you that at the moment there is only positive news on the crypto market, absolutely no negativity, in the summer, for example, the same SP500 grew and reached new highs, unlike the crypto market, no events in the world prevented it.
The landing of paper hands continues, faith in cryptocurrency is disappearing for many. It was all the same in the past. Many who have been in previous cycles know what kind of growth awaits us.! we are only at the very beginning of this cycle!
withdrawal from exchanges exceeds input - correlation
Altcoins, for the initial growth, it is necessary to break through the downward trends on the capitalization of altcoins, which we have already approached almost tightly. The correction of Bitcoin Dominance will also help in growth. Paper hands are sold, MM and Whales land weak hands, and at this time they themselves buy off significant volumes. There is not much time left for the good, and many will bite their elbows!
https://www.tradingview.co.../
1 month ago
Marinade Finance's Stake Auction Marketplace (SAM) enters Phase 2, allowing solana stakers to earn higher rewards through live validator bids starting August 14th.
1 month ago
📊GlobaVTS is still trying to gain a foothold above the 60,000 level. It is necessary to open the weekly candle above. But in any case, it will only be a local movement with subsequent growth towards the upper boundary of the pattern. Where there is a possibility of some manipulation by the Market Maker and whales. As I wrote earlier, for a new round of growth, it is necessary to break through the resistance zone of 70,000-73,000, but not only to break through, but also to gain a foothold higher. Next week there will be important data on US inflation, with the help of which it will be possible to predict the possibility of lowering US Federal Reserve rates.
withdrawal from exchanges exceeds input - correlation
Minimum volumes!
Altcoins are also waiting for information from the Fed next week. And of course, the breakdown of the resistance zone for Bitcoin. The growth will be significant in the medium and long term. Locally, there may still be some manipulations. But as soon as the inflation data arrives, I will start buying some altcoins. I will write the signals in the VIP channel.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
withdrawal from exchanges exceeds input - correlation
Minimum volumes!
Altcoins are also waiting for information from the Fed next week. And of course, the breakdown of the resistance zone for Bitcoin. The growth will be significant in the medium and long term. Locally, there may still be some manipulations. But as soon as the inflation data arrives, I will start buying some altcoins. I will write the signals in the VIP channel.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
1 month ago
The current geopolitical situation presents several factors that could prompt Iran to act, mainly due to the dynamics between Russia and the West.
🔹 Geopolitical Context:
The West, especially the United States and European countries, are providing significant military and economic support to Ukraine in its fight against Russian aggression. This assistance is aimed at weakening Russia, both economically and militarily.
🔹 Russian Strategy:
Russia, facing tough sanctions and increased support for Ukraine, may seek to divert international attention and weaken Western unity by creating crises elsewhere. In this context, provoking tensions in the Middle East could be a strategy to divide the resources and attention of Western powers.
🔹 Role of Iran:
Iran is a key player in the Middle East, with interests and alliances that put it at odds with Israel and, indirectly, with the United States. By escalating tensions with Israel, Iran may seek to exploit Western vulnerabilities and distract from issues in Eastern Europe.
🔹 Israel and US Support:
Israel is a strategic ally of the United States in the region, and tensions with Iran could lead to an escalation that could, in turn, divert some Western aid and support to Ukraine. Such a situation could weaken Western pressure on Russia.
An escalation could then lead to a final low in the markets, however, keep in mind that if this happens, there is NO cause for concern. Whether it was during Covid, the fall of FTX, or the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the #Bitcoin has always returned to its previous levels.
No matter what happens, Bitcoin will go much higher. Just be careful if you use leverage in this volatile time.
For the SPOT, HODL! 🚀
🔹 Geopolitical Context:
The West, especially the United States and European countries, are providing significant military and economic support to Ukraine in its fight against Russian aggression. This assistance is aimed at weakening Russia, both economically and militarily.
🔹 Russian Strategy:
Russia, facing tough sanctions and increased support for Ukraine, may seek to divert international attention and weaken Western unity by creating crises elsewhere. In this context, provoking tensions in the Middle East could be a strategy to divide the resources and attention of Western powers.
🔹 Role of Iran:
Iran is a key player in the Middle East, with interests and alliances that put it at odds with Israel and, indirectly, with the United States. By escalating tensions with Israel, Iran may seek to exploit Western vulnerabilities and distract from issues in Eastern Europe.
🔹 Israel and US Support:
Israel is a strategic ally of the United States in the region, and tensions with Iran could lead to an escalation that could, in turn, divert some Western aid and support to Ukraine. Such a situation could weaken Western pressure on Russia.
An escalation could then lead to a final low in the markets, however, keep in mind that if this happens, there is NO cause for concern. Whether it was during Covid, the fall of FTX, or the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the #Bitcoin has always returned to its previous levels.
No matter what happens, Bitcoin will go much higher. Just be careful if you use leverage in this volatile time.
For the SPOT, HODL! 🚀
1 month ago
BTC wrote yesterday that the market needs to recover within a week or two. I think this is an extremely important point. There is also a breakdown of the key resistance zone of 70,000-73,000 and even higher. All this needs to be done within these deadlines. The market has been in flat or correction for quite a long time, at the current it has been 5 months. The edge is 6 months. Whales have accumulated and bought more than 404,000 Bitcoins recently, on the drain the day before yesterday, there were purchases from whales, there were large deposits on Fiat Exchanges to buy off this strait. More than $ 1.2 billion was placed on the Binance Exchange alone. The hash rate of Bitcoin has recovered, as well as reached new highs. This is a positive moment for the start of a new cycle. A kind of indicator.
the withdrawal from the exchanges exceeds the input - 4%, 1,700 btc
Altcoins, as well as the story about Altcoins, the restoration of which is necessary within a week or two. Let me remind you that altcoins have been in flat or correction for the 5th month.
This has been going on for at least a long time and is approaching the term recession. August and September will be key for Altcoins! It won't be long, patience is a profit!
https://www.tradingview.co.../
the withdrawal from the exchanges exceeds the input - 4%, 1,700 btc
Altcoins, as well as the story about Altcoins, the restoration of which is necessary within a week or two. Let me remind you that altcoins have been in flat or correction for the 5th month.
This has been going on for at least a long time and is approaching the term recession. August and September will be key for Altcoins! It won't be long, patience is a profit!
https://www.tradingview.co.../
1 month ago
Weekly Outlook Charts: August 5-9:
#DXY Despite the volatility, the weekly time frame still shows bearish divergence. Hence why i think we will still continue on the leg down to 96.9 as forecasted many months ago. Nothing has changed here.
Weekly: https://www.tradingview.co.../
Daily: Solid rejection off 106/107 level instills confidence of further downside to target.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
🎯Target at 97 remains.
Doesnt lower DXY mean gains for risk assets like crypto? Not quite..
Where I was wrong about DXY and why: Historically speaking, DXY strength correlates well with economic activity. A strong dollar is good for markets because it signals we are headed in the right direction. Economy > earnings > stock prices. However, more recently as we've seen in 2022 and 2023, a stronger dollar had a negative affect on equities - mainly risk assets such as cryptos. This was because of deleveraging of global liquidity in the form of quantitative tightening. Interest rates were climbing at a record pace to stop inflation, while making the risk free rate (bond yields) more rewarding than most high growth companies. Growing a company became much more difficult when compared to low rate environments. Good news was bad news for the market.
The market reaction of recent economic data indicates a possible turning point for bad news being bad for the market. So even though , DXY is still on track to its forecast from months prior, risk assets may not perform as expected. We must look at other factors outside of DXY strength - as I normally do - to gauge whether upside on cryptos are worth while...
Yield Curve Inversions:
For the first time since June 2022, the yield curve has hit 0%. After spending a record time inverted, there are signs the yield curve is finally re-inverting back to normal. The re-inversion usually causes the most damage to markets as a recession hits, and growth stagnates.
#US10Y
Below shows the yield curve vs the S&P 500.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
Since 1990, there has been a 4/4 probability of market declines and recession proceeding the re-inversion.
For data not shown on Tradingview, there were 2 outliers in 1980 and 1982 where the market nearly bottomed as it re-inverted (https://fred.stlouisfed.or...)
However, the last two re-inversions still had the market increase for the proceeding 24 weeks (5-6 months). This is very important information. If this cycle plays out like the last 2, the markets might still crawl higher until Jan 2025.
#US10Y
Below shows the yield curve vs gold.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
🎯Target for 3000
As the yield curve re-inverts, it presents an opportunity for safe haven assets like gold to outperform. The only outlier was 1980 and 1982 when gold had already increased 800% in the few years prior due to Fed Volcker's era of runaway inflation.
Evidenced by the inverted yield curve's track record of predicting recessions, the Sahm Rule was also triggered on Friday's unemployment data. Since 1950, the Sahm Rule was able to predict a recession 10/11 times (91% chance). Every time it did predict a recession, it did so within 4 months.
Coincidentally, This time frame fits quite nicely with the 24 weeks of upside proceeding the re-inversion before the start of a bear market
#DXY Despite the volatility, the weekly time frame still shows bearish divergence. Hence why i think we will still continue on the leg down to 96.9 as forecasted many months ago. Nothing has changed here.
Weekly: https://www.tradingview.co.../
Daily: Solid rejection off 106/107 level instills confidence of further downside to target.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
🎯Target at 97 remains.
Doesnt lower DXY mean gains for risk assets like crypto? Not quite..
Where I was wrong about DXY and why: Historically speaking, DXY strength correlates well with economic activity. A strong dollar is good for markets because it signals we are headed in the right direction. Economy > earnings > stock prices. However, more recently as we've seen in 2022 and 2023, a stronger dollar had a negative affect on equities - mainly risk assets such as cryptos. This was because of deleveraging of global liquidity in the form of quantitative tightening. Interest rates were climbing at a record pace to stop inflation, while making the risk free rate (bond yields) more rewarding than most high growth companies. Growing a company became much more difficult when compared to low rate environments. Good news was bad news for the market.
The market reaction of recent economic data indicates a possible turning point for bad news being bad for the market. So even though , DXY is still on track to its forecast from months prior, risk assets may not perform as expected. We must look at other factors outside of DXY strength - as I normally do - to gauge whether upside on cryptos are worth while...
Yield Curve Inversions:
For the first time since June 2022, the yield curve has hit 0%. After spending a record time inverted, there are signs the yield curve is finally re-inverting back to normal. The re-inversion usually causes the most damage to markets as a recession hits, and growth stagnates.
#US10Y
Below shows the yield curve vs the S&P 500.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
Since 1990, there has been a 4/4 probability of market declines and recession proceeding the re-inversion.
For data not shown on Tradingview, there were 2 outliers in 1980 and 1982 where the market nearly bottomed as it re-inverted (https://fred.stlouisfed.or...)
However, the last two re-inversions still had the market increase for the proceeding 24 weeks (5-6 months). This is very important information. If this cycle plays out like the last 2, the markets might still crawl higher until Jan 2025.
#US10Y
Below shows the yield curve vs gold.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
🎯Target for 3000
As the yield curve re-inverts, it presents an opportunity for safe haven assets like gold to outperform. The only outlier was 1980 and 1982 when gold had already increased 800% in the few years prior due to Fed Volcker's era of runaway inflation.
Evidenced by the inverted yield curve's track record of predicting recessions, the Sahm Rule was also triggered on Friday's unemployment data. Since 1950, the Sahm Rule was able to predict a recession 10/11 times (91% chance). Every time it did predict a recession, it did so within 4 months.
Coincidentally, This time frame fits quite nicely with the 24 weeks of upside proceeding the re-inversion before the start of a bear market
DXY Weekly Down for TVC:DXY by SolenyaResearch — TradingView
Despite the volatility, the weekly time frame still shows bearish divergence. Hence why i think we will still continue on the leg down to 96.9 as forecasted many months ago. Nothing has changed here.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/LDxbqwgW-DXY-Weekly-Down/
1 month ago
💬 “Historically, every time we’ve seen this kind of global economic panic, crypto has initially gone down but ended higher over the next year”
This is what Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, specifies in a research note.
“If you’re like most crypto investors, you’ve been through a brutal wave of emotions, including fear or despair. For many, the emotion that hits hardest is something like anger.”
As a reminder, yesterday Bitcoin fell below $50 ,000 for the first time since February.
“But my real advice is to ignore the short term and look down. Bitcoin is a volatile asset, with big ups and big downs. It always has been and will continue to be for some time.”
https://experts.bitwiseinv...
This is what Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, specifies in a research note.
“If you’re like most crypto investors, you’ve been through a brutal wave of emotions, including fear or despair. For many, the emotion that hits hardest is something like anger.”
As a reminder, yesterday Bitcoin fell below $50 ,000 for the first time since February.
“But my real advice is to ignore the short term and look down. Bitcoin is a volatile asset, with big ups and big downs. It always has been and will continue to be for some time.”
https://experts.bitwiseinv...
The Crypto Market Sell-Off: What Happened and Where We Go From Here | Bitwise Investments
Access exclusive crypto insights and tools for professional investors.
https://experts.bitwiseinvestments.com/cio-memos/the-crypto-market-sell-off-what-happened-and-where-we-go-from-here?_hsmi=318771500
1 month ago
Daily Memecoin Recap - August 5
Market had a small bounce today
Too early to get excited, this could just be a relief pump, we need to see more follow through
Wrapped Meta
$wDOG -> hit $4 .34m, top holder was a whale (with $1 .5m+), "wrapped dog", meme referencing wrapped coins ( $wBTC , $wETH , $wSOL , etc. )
$wCAT -> hit $307k , beta to $wDOG
$wPEPE -> hit $157k , wrapped pepe
Slerf Team Confirms CTO rumours
$oodles -> $1 .7m to $12 .7m (7.47x)
- They've been teasing at a CTO ( $slerf team)
- People had been speculating that it would oodles
- Today they confirmed it
- Typical huge pump on the news, and major crash a couple minutes after (since there's nothing to look forward to anymore)
- Currently sitting at $3 .5m
Play On Letters
$btw -> $1 .2m to $6 .44m (5.36x), banana taped to a wall meme
$wsb -> hit $400k , "We're So Back", after market bounce today
$pac -> hit $280k , "Post Ape Clarity", funny meme
Dog Meta
$bane -> $894k to $8 .45m (9.45x), CTO, crashed from $4m last night down to $900k today & ran even higher to $8m +, pushed by influencers
$ares -> hit $500k , wolf meme
$png -> hit $250k , dog with a png background
More Cooks
$retardio -> $48m to $94 .5m (1.96x)
$helen -> $310k to $2 .85m (9.19x), CTO
$frank -> $141k to $943k (6.68x), CTO
$bunne -> $30k to $830k (27.6x), CTO
$walz -> $160k to $870k (5.4x), redacted GovTimWalz
, pumps as KamalaHarris
narrows down her VP choices
$mici -> hit $770k , $michi beta
$anon -> hit $340k , bunny meme
A lot of higher market cap coins have wicked and began to see some green
Would like to see continued push here to confirm this isn't a dead cat bounce
Market had a small bounce today
Too early to get excited, this could just be a relief pump, we need to see more follow through
Wrapped Meta
$wDOG -> hit $4 .34m, top holder was a whale (with $1 .5m+), "wrapped dog", meme referencing wrapped coins ( $wBTC , $wETH , $wSOL , etc. )
$wCAT -> hit $307k , beta to $wDOG
$wPEPE -> hit $157k , wrapped pepe
Slerf Team Confirms CTO rumours
$oodles -> $1 .7m to $12 .7m (7.47x)
- They've been teasing at a CTO ( $slerf team)
- People had been speculating that it would oodles
- Today they confirmed it
- Typical huge pump on the news, and major crash a couple minutes after (since there's nothing to look forward to anymore)
- Currently sitting at $3 .5m
Play On Letters
$btw -> $1 .2m to $6 .44m (5.36x), banana taped to a wall meme
$wsb -> hit $400k , "We're So Back", after market bounce today
$pac -> hit $280k , "Post Ape Clarity", funny meme
Dog Meta
$bane -> $894k to $8 .45m (9.45x), CTO, crashed from $4m last night down to $900k today & ran even higher to $8m +, pushed by influencers
$ares -> hit $500k , wolf meme
$png -> hit $250k , dog with a png background
More Cooks
$retardio -> $48m to $94 .5m (1.96x)
$helen -> $310k to $2 .85m (9.19x), CTO
$frank -> $141k to $943k (6.68x), CTO
$bunne -> $30k to $830k (27.6x), CTO
$walz -> $160k to $870k (5.4x), redacted GovTimWalz
, pumps as KamalaHarris
narrows down her VP choices
$mici -> hit $770k , $michi beta
$anon -> hit $340k , bunny meme
A lot of higher market cap coins have wicked and began to see some green
Would like to see continued push here to confirm this isn't a dead cat bounce
1 month ago
If you feel bad about this -30% from the top, tell yourself that on August 1, 2024, Microstrategy bought 169 Bitcoin at an average price of $67 ,500!
This represents a temporary loss of approximately $3 million.
But I don't think they have the slightest concern since their objective is long-term accumulation. They bought much lower and also higher, that's the goal of DCA!
This represents a temporary loss of approximately $3 million.
But I don't think they have the slightest concern since their objective is long-term accumulation. They bought much lower and also higher, that's the goal of DCA!
2 months ago
Daily Memecoin Recap - July 29
Great volume today
Market is seriously picking back up, keep reading 👇
Rug Turns Into A Community Relaunch
$fwog -> hit $17m , community relaunch, $eth whales pushing
$flog -> hit $4 .11m, rug
$fwog -> hit $300k , OG fwog launched June 5th
- $flog launched and rugged, the artist was mad and decided to relaunch as $fwog
- This was the runner of the day
Zoomer Memes
$ong -> $7m to $25m (3.6x), 3% of supply has been locked up for 6 months ($350k)
$higher -> $500k to $2 .5m (5x), good CTO
$bro -> hit $1m , "It's a CTO bro"
$stoic -> hit $750k
$aylmao -> hit $616k
Smoking Chicken Fish Is Taking Over
$scf -> $47m to $107m (2.27x)
$scf -> hit $616k , OG smoking chicken fish from 2023
Buck To A Buck
$buck -> hit $4 .75m, CTO, dog meme, once this buck started moving, people started pushing around the OG one (which was previously inactive)
$buck -> hit $1m , OG buck
$dolla -> hit $600k , $buck derivative
Ginnan Is A Boy
$ginnan -> $16m to $44 .5m (2.78x), "Ginnan Doge's Sister"
$ginnan -> hit $2 .5m, "Ginnan Doge's Brother"
- "Ginnan Doge's Sister" ran to $40m +, but turns out that Ginnan is a boy which means that he's Doge's brother (not sister)
Dogecoin meta
$neiro -> $38 .5m to $82m (2.1x)
$suji -> $65k to $1 .5m (23x), Tsutsuji, "Doge's sister cat"
$MoM -> hit $3 .45m, "Mother of Memecoins", CTO, coin about $doge & $neiro 's mom
$oni -> hit $900k , cat meme, " $doge 's cat "
Dog Memes
$pupperfish -> hit $5m , viral dogfish
$nichi -> hit $1 .6m
$snuggy -> hit $510k , CTO
$dolly -> hit $450k
Cat Memes
$gpc -> hit $1m , "GoProCat", based on what a1lon9 (pumpfun's founder) said in an interview
$meo -> hit $885k , Chinese meme
$cc -> hit $500k , cult cate, has been made before
$chester -> hit $500k
$incel -> hit $440k
Other Cooks
$jet -> hit $775k , "Sardine 737"
$gigana -> hit $250k , woman $giga , CTO
$pumpy -> hit $220k
Imagine what happens when retail starts using trojan, BullX, photon, etc...
Great volume today
Market is seriously picking back up, keep reading 👇
Rug Turns Into A Community Relaunch
$fwog -> hit $17m , community relaunch, $eth whales pushing
$flog -> hit $4 .11m, rug
$fwog -> hit $300k , OG fwog launched June 5th
- $flog launched and rugged, the artist was mad and decided to relaunch as $fwog
- This was the runner of the day
Zoomer Memes
$ong -> $7m to $25m (3.6x), 3% of supply has been locked up for 6 months ($350k)
$higher -> $500k to $2 .5m (5x), good CTO
$bro -> hit $1m , "It's a CTO bro"
$stoic -> hit $750k
$aylmao -> hit $616k
Smoking Chicken Fish Is Taking Over
$scf -> $47m to $107m (2.27x)
$scf -> hit $616k , OG smoking chicken fish from 2023
Buck To A Buck
$buck -> hit $4 .75m, CTO, dog meme, once this buck started moving, people started pushing around the OG one (which was previously inactive)
$buck -> hit $1m , OG buck
$dolla -> hit $600k , $buck derivative
Ginnan Is A Boy
$ginnan -> $16m to $44 .5m (2.78x), "Ginnan Doge's Sister"
$ginnan -> hit $2 .5m, "Ginnan Doge's Brother"
- "Ginnan Doge's Sister" ran to $40m +, but turns out that Ginnan is a boy which means that he's Doge's brother (not sister)
Dogecoin meta
$neiro -> $38 .5m to $82m (2.1x)
$suji -> $65k to $1 .5m (23x), Tsutsuji, "Doge's sister cat"
$MoM -> hit $3 .45m, "Mother of Memecoins", CTO, coin about $doge & $neiro 's mom
$oni -> hit $900k , cat meme, " $doge 's cat "
Dog Memes
$pupperfish -> hit $5m , viral dogfish
$nichi -> hit $1 .6m
$snuggy -> hit $510k , CTO
$dolly -> hit $450k
Cat Memes
$gpc -> hit $1m , "GoProCat", based on what a1lon9 (pumpfun's founder) said in an interview
$meo -> hit $885k , Chinese meme
$cc -> hit $500k , cult cate, has been made before
$chester -> hit $500k
$incel -> hit $440k
Other Cooks
$jet -> hit $775k , "Sardine 737"
$gigana -> hit $250k , woman $giga , CTO
$pumpy -> hit $220k
Imagine what happens when retail starts using trojan, BullX, photon, etc...
2 months ago
POV: people who "try" to wait for the "perfect price" to buy and/or buy-resell to "try" to buy lower.
Reselling to “try” to buy lower is the worst strategy. All the people who sold their portfolio at 60k, 58k, etc., with a target set at 52k, are now most likely buying back at a much higher price.
Besides, even if we had reached 52k, they probably would have said "I'm waiting for 48k", etc.
The perfect price doesn't exist.
#Bitcoin
Reselling to “try” to buy lower is the worst strategy. All the people who sold their portfolio at 60k, 58k, etc., with a target set at 52k, are now most likely buying back at a much higher price.
Besides, even if we had reached 52k, they probably would have said "I'm waiting for 48k", etc.
The perfect price doesn't exist.
#Bitcoin
