Daily Memecoin Recap - October 30

Seems like AI meta is slowly dying out. What's next? 👀

Luce Gets A New Character
#tenebro -> hit $3m , New Mascot of The Holy Church
#tenebro -> hit $1 .45m
$bope -> hit $284k , based pope
- Tenebro is $LUCE 's nemesis

High Volume
$rzlr -> $2 .1m to $10 .1m (4.8x), viral tiktoker, the rizzler
$xeno -> hit $11 .2m, quote retweeting other people's tweets with AI generated art
$mondo -> hit $4 .6m, unique art
$zuo -> hit $1 .1m, funny meme

Doge Betas
$shibu -> $4 .7m to $12m (2.5x), $doge mascot
#dogenes -> hit $4 .9m, greek philospher $doge
$dogat -> hit $3m , cat version of $doge

Artist Launch
$bflyz -> hit $3 .7m
- bflyzone_

Artificial Intelligence
$avb -> $1 .2m to $8 .3m (6.9x), autonomous virtual beings
#himenoAI -> hit $1 .5m
$moksha -> hit $1 .3m
$bbc -> hit $930k , BBC AI...

Maneki Co-Founder Launch
$thecat -> hit $41m
- Maneki confirmed that one of their co-founders launched his own token

Election Meta
$doge -> $740k to $4 .2m (5.7x), Department of Gov Efficiency
$donkey -> hit $5 .2m, based on KamalaHarris
#republican -> hit $2 .3m
$potus -> hit $1 .6m, President of the United States, realDonaldTrump
#garbage -> hit $1m , United States Of Garbage
- Elections are next week👀

Tee Hee He
$tee -> hit $46 .5m, on $ETH
$tee -> hit $1 .2m, on $SOL , beta to the one above
- Rumored to be truth_terminal's eth coin

More Cooks
$ff -> $500k to $2m (4x), platform that lets you launch a fair coin on pump fun
$toro -> hit $13m , Asian character
$btcat -> hit $7 .5m, first cat on chain
$earl -> hit $3m
$mx -> hit $2 .25m, MX69420, beta to $spx (SPX6900)
$bbydev -> hit $1 .45m, the dev is a baby
$snoo -> hit $1 .34m, reddit mascot
$mikro -> hit $845k , redacted MicroStrategy
$brains -> hit $800k
#ct100 -> hit $488k , CT Index, 100 most influential accounts on CT, unique concept
$batcat -> hit $470k , Halloween meta
$mlnr -> hit $430k , Millionaire
$popbat -> hit $210k , $popcat bat

All eyes on $BTC as we hope it breaks past ATH

Will we continue to have a green Q4?

Daily Memecoin Recap - October 13

Easy mode is finally here

AI Takes Over
$goat -> $6m to $95m (15.8x), truth_terminal
$opus -> hit $2 .66m, Claude Opus AI
#memesAI -> hit $2 .3m, another AI agent like $goat , AIHegemonyMemes
#a69z -> hit $779k , based on a16z
$dog -> hit $635k , dog version of $goat , Dogteus Maximus
- Founder of A16z pmarca funded an AI agent. The AI then created its own coin and started shitposting truth_terminal ( $goat )
- It tweets around 10 times/hour, constantly bullposting the coin without end
- Proof that narrative is king

Truth Terminal Tweets
$tree -> hit $1 .78m
$wen -> hit $540k
- These are based on tweets by truth_terminal ( $goat )

SPX Wants $1B
$spx -> hit $925m
$marie -> hit $7 .6m, Marie Rose, girl in one of the main $spx memes
$marie -> hit $4 .12m, on $eth

Great Volume
#conviction -> $228k to $2m (8.77x), Buy + Hodl + Believe
$swarm -> hit $4 .93m
$pve -> hit $3 .26m, player vs environment trading instead of player vs player
$main -> hit $1 .12m, main character, gen z meme
$peek -> hit $903k
$fumble -> hit $400k , shoulda woulda coulda

Retardio Meta
#retardio -> hit $197m , new ATH, deranged communities stay winning
$rsi -> hit $3 .6m, Retardio Solami Index
#ethtardio -> hit $3 .73m, on $eth

Dead Or Alive Meta
$alpha -> hit $7m , boss from the game series "dead or alive"
$tina -> hit $1 .52m
$kasumi -> hit $303k

Hyped Launch
$genz -> hit $929k , good art

Speed Coming Back To Life
$speed -> $750k to $5 .88m (7.84x)
- ATH of $25m
- Was one of the highest market cap degen memes in May

More Cooks
$dolan -> $7 .6m to $26m (3.42x), Dolan Duck
$morud -> $2 .3m to $8 .3m (3.6x), redacted Murad
$aped -> $333k to $1 .53m (4.6x), "I aped"
$lockin -> hit $94m , the cult continues to grow
$rich -> hit $9 .93m, good meme
$us -> hit $1 .82m, America's flag
$cult -> hit $1 .77m
$piu -> hit $983k
#gt3rs -> hit $730k , Porsche
$bite -> hit $530k , bitecoin, $btc meme
$retire -> hit $517k , "the last play so I can retire"
$dorime -> hit $473k , viral rat meme
$xtacy -> hit $283k
$bwob -> hit $267k , $fwog beta
$ddog -> hit $235k , data dog, programmable and immutable dog on $sol

What if this AI meta never ends and we just start trading memes that different agents create all day

Since daveward online dropped this analysis a month ago...

- sprotogremlins
up from 0.6 to 2.79 ETH
- SPX Aeons up from 0.09 to 2.1 ETH
- Bitcoin Puppets up from 0.09 to 0.17 BTC
- SCHIZO_POSTERS
up from 0.29 to 0.65 ETH
- $SPX up from $10M to $750M MCAP

Don't fade cult NFTs (& see what other winners he predicted) 👇

https://bankless.com/cult-...

Daily Memecoin Recap - October 9

Dolphins + FBI + ZachXBT sums up today

Dolphin Dilemma
$hanbao -> hit $11 .7m, Hanbao the finless porpoise, viral dolphin meme
$miharu -> hit $9 .36m, smiling dolphin
$miharu -> hit $1 .39m
$taotao -> hit $615k , first finless porpoise born in captivity
- Dolphin picture has been going viral and being used as a meme
- People were quick to find its name, but there was many debates on whether Miharu or HanBao was the correct one

FBI Launched A Coin
$nexf -> hit $670k , Nex Fund AI
$nfa -6900 -> hit $366k , NexFunDai-6900, $spx + NexFundAI
- The FBI created their own coin called NexFundAI and hired some firms so that they can catch them doing fraudulent activities
- NexFundAI was a coin created at the direction of law enforcement on $eth

Major Volume
$skbdi -> $2 .78m to $49 .1m (17.6x from the low), skibidi toilet
$cb -> $9 .4m to $22 .5m (2.39x), cheeseball, wizard cat, fire content
$alpha -> $2 .45m to $8m (3.26x), reject modernity
$1 % -> hit $1 .71m, "The One Percent", the 1% club, pushed by MarcellxMarcell
$casino -> hit $308k , crypto is the world's greatest casino, same dev as #supercycle

ZachXBT Exposes Murad's Wallets
$spx -> Initially dumped from $650m to $395m (-40%) on the news. Currently climbing back up, sitting at $576m .
#mpx6900 -> hit $2 .58m, memecoin index, $spx beta

Sigma Heads For $100m
$sigma -> $25 .6m to $83 .1m (3.24x from the low), pushed by idrawline
$ligma -> hit $483k , ligma males, beta to $sigma

Mini Breaks $50m
$mini -> $24m to $59 .85m (2.49x

Lieutenant Dan
$dan -> $49k to $1 .37m (27.96x)
- Viral Floridian who refuses to leave his boat in Florida despite Hurricane Milton

More Cooks
$r /snoofi -> $5 .5m to $13 .3m (2.4x from the low), reddit dog makes a higher high
$labubu -> $1 .35m to $10 .75m (7.96x from the low), #1 toy in Asia
$diddy -> $488k to $2 .56m (5.25x)
$arc -> $182k to $866k (4.75x), villain arc
$todd -> hit $2 .32m
#hawktoshi -> hit $1 .2m, Hawktoshi Tuahmoto, Satoshi + Hawk Tuah
$risk -> hit $1m
$penis -> hit $870k , dinosaur + penis
$boys -> hit $729k , moonshot launch
$rosa -> hit $658k , viral otter
$wif -> hit $544k , "Your second chance at wif", launched in June
$alpha -> hit $448k
$scream -> hit $364k
$sato -> hit $354k

pumpdotfun save the trenches pls

Daily Memecoin Recap - October 8

Looks like HBO larped us, at least we still got some plays out of it

HBO Documentary Releases
#petertodd -> hit $5 .12m, people leaked who HBO says is satoshi
#satoshi -> hit $1 .2m
$waas -> hit $1 .16m, we are all satoshi
$tudd -> hit $280k , redacted Puter Tudd
- HBO says Peter Todd is Satoshi

Peter Todd Denies Satoshi Claims
#yourmom -> hit $6 .83m
- Based on a tweet by peterktodd: "To all the Solana memecoin degens spamming my mentios, I have one pet and it's name is your mom."
- Peter says that he isn't Satoshi

Wif Owner Posts A Dog
$shoko -> hit $3 .58m
- People were assuming that this was $wif 's owner's new dog
- It turns out that the dog was just visiting and it isn't actually her dog

Why Are You Gay?
$yrugay -> hit $1 .83m
- Viral meme
- Launched by the guy in the meme himself SimonKaggwaNjal

SPX Goes Crazy
$spx -> $186m to $611m (3.28x from the recent low)
$lsd -> $6 .5m to $18m (2.77x), $sol 's version of $spx Liquid Solana Derivative 42069
- Community forming

Top Runners
$sigma -> $25 .6m to $58m (2.26x)
#supercycle -> $1 .56m to $11 .6m (7.44x), the supercycle is (real), breakout to ATH
$zazu -> $2 .66m to $7 .71m (2.89x), this cat has been relaunched over 5 times
$alpha -> $680k to $4 .74m (6.97x), reject modernity, ATH
$todd -> hit $1 .38m

Nub Getting Shilled
$nub -> $5 .53m to $41 .3m (7.46x)
- One of the fan favorites finally makes a higher high after dying out for weeks
- Ansem (blknoiz06) & other notable people are pushing it

Goated Eth Memes
$apu -> $48m to $222m (4.62x from the low)
$joe -> $3 .83m to $48 .5m (12.6x from the low), great $eth meme

More Cooks
$pinky -> $1 .19m to $2 .62m (2.2x), pinky the pineapple
$coded -> $25k to $415k (16.6x), it's coded, CTO, ATH $1 .38m
$diddy -> hit $1 .42m
$milton -> hit $648k , hurricane milton
$topcat -> hit $617k
$pandie -> hit $582k
$winu -> hit $395k
$ron -> hit $382k
#chadGPT -> hit $336k
#conviction -> hit $283k , Buy + Hodl + Believe
$bb -> hit $271k , baddi

Did you catch any peter todd plays? 💰

Daily Memecoin Recap - October 6

Everything is sending 👀

High Market Cap Memes
$giga -> $224m to $469m (2.09x)
$spx -> $181m to $387m (2.14x)
$fwog -> $48m to $181m (3.77x from the low)
$michi -> $88m to $172m (1.95x)
$scf -> $57m to $108m (1.89x)
$lockin -> $14 .2m to $48m (2.67x)
$mini -> $12m to $37m (3.08x), new ATH
$sigma -> $7 .8m to $30m (3.84x), new ATH
$aura -> $6m to $26m (4.33x from the low)
$rocky -> $5 .55m to $13m (2.34x)

Rumors Of Satoshi's Identity
$sasha -> $7 .9m to $16 .6m (2.1x), "Bitcoin Cat", Len Sassaman's cat
$len -> hit $4 .79m, redacted Len
$len -> hit $3 .69m
$remus -> hit $2m , Len's dog
#nukumutu -> hit $1 .16m, Redacted Satoshi Nakamoto
- There's a new HBO documentary that claims to reveal Satoshi Nakamoto's identity (bitcoin's founder)
- People are trying to leak who they're going to reveal as Satoshi, there are claims that it's Len Sassaman

Murad Meta
$bingus -> $544k to $8 .4m (15.4x), based on a tweet of Murad shilling bingus back in December 2023
#everything -> hit $2 .56m, based on one of Murad's tweets from May
$morud -> hit $657k
- MustStopMurad recently did an interview where he discusses his thesis on memecoins

Elon Musk Changes His PFP
$dmaga -> $2 .2m to $12m (5.45x)
$based -> hit $1 .85m, "Make America Based Again"
- elonmusk's new pfp is him wearing a make america great again hat

Cat Memes
$bro -> hit $1 .44m, "bro the cat"
$faded -> hit $800k , faded a coin and now you're sidelined, good meme
$bobcat -> hit $335k
$squizo -> hit $215k

Eth Moo Deng
#moodeng -> $2 .67m to $50m (18.7x)
- Moo Deng on $eth has been pumping while the $sol one decreases, rumours of a T1 listing

Other Plays
$ernie -> hit $5 .21m, moonshot launch with new airlock - top 50 holders are periodically refreshed, $132k + in LP Rewards
$laszlo -> hit $1 .27m, famous transaction of 10k $btc for 2 pizzas
$srdog -> hit $718k , silk road dog, based on Ross Ulbricht (inventor of Silk Road)
$lgr -> hit $509k , Let's Get Rich
$usdc -> hit $472k , Unicorn Solami Donut Cat, good ticker
$minnow -> hit $427k

What are some of your conviction holds? 💰

📅 **Weekly Outlook Sep 30 - Oct 6** 📅
Stay updated with key news & events in finance and crypto! 🧵👇

---

📰 **News/Sentiment:**
- FED tracking econ data for rate cuts 📊
- Neutral stance, less dovish than expected 🕊️
- Eyes on Sept Jobs, ISM Manufacturing, Jobless Claims 📈
- Investors expect continued rate lowering 💸
- Goldman: Stocks pricier on ROE premium 📉
- BofA forecasts a soft landing 🌤️

---

📅 **Events This Week:**

**Monday:**
- 🇬🇧 UK: GP
- 🇩🇪 GER: CPI
- 🇺🇸 US: Powell Speaks 🎙️

**Tuesday:**
- 🇪🇺 EUR: Core CPI, CPI
- 🇺🇸 US: PMI, Fed GDP Now, Job Openings
- 📈 Earnings: NKE 👟

**Wednesday:**
- 🇪🇺 EUR: Unemployment 📉

**Thursday:**
- 🇺🇸 US: Jobless Claims
- 🇨🇳 CNY: CPI 🇨🇳

**Friday:**
- 🇺🇸 US: Labor Participation, Nonfarm Payroll, Unemployment Rate 📊

---

⚖️ **Risk Appetite:**
- Truflation: 1.5% 📉
- Market Fear/Greed: 75 🤑 Extreme Greed
- Market Breadth: Extreme Greed 🚀
- Put/Call: Extreme Greed
- Junk Bond vs. Investment Grade: Fear ⚠️
- AAII Sentiment: 3% off 1yr bullish 📈
- Crypto Fear/Greed: 50 Neutral 🪙
- High Yield Bond Premium: 3.68% 🔺
- High Yield Effective Yield: 7.8% 🔺

---

📊 **Market Breadth:**
- % of $SPX > 200D MA: 62% ↔️
- % of $SPX > 50D MA: 65% ↔️
- % of $SPX > 20D MA: 68% ↔️
- NASDAQ New Highs - Lows: 57
- SPY 52W Highs - Lows: -44
- SPY New H/L: Monthly 147; Weekly 19 📉

---

🔍 **Other:**
- Fed Rate Monitor: 30% chance of 50bps, 70% chance of 25bps 📉🔮

---

Stay informed and make savvy moves this week! 💰🚀 #Finance #crypto #MarketUpdate

---

Daily Memecoin Recap - September 12

Decent volume today as $sol starts to pick up

$420k + In LP Rewards
$dev -> hit $16 .7m
- Launch by ChartFuMonkey

- He's taking a more transparent angle to the launch
- Promises to disclose all supply allocations to KOLs
- Over $400k in rewards have been distributed to the top 50 holders pre bond

Usher Gets Hacked
$usher -> hit $1 .9m
$usher -> hit $416k
-
Usher got sim swapped, a bunch of fake usher coins came out on pumpfun

Solana's Pepe
$lumi -> hit $1 .59m
$lumio -> hit $1 .41m
- Posted by solana
, good narrative

Murad's Final Pick
$spx -> $7m to $19 .2m (2.74x), on eth
- MustStopMurad posts his final cult on his top 10 highest meme conviction list
- Murad has 2.8% of supply
- Price instantly pumped following his tweet

Moonshot Launches
$tmn -> hit $350k , Trumpmoon
$clique -> hit $337k , $25k in LP Rewards

Hyped Launches
$woofie -> $167k to $1 .64m (9.8x), dog meme
$dwolf -> hit $3 .49m, "Dark Wolf"
$towd -> hit $262k , toad meme

Fwog Art
$luci -> $8m , $99k in LP Rewards, launched on moonshotdotcc

$bwull -> hit $697k , $fwog + bull
$holi -> hit $240k

Slow Cooks
$abcde -> $840k to $4 .37m (5.2x), was going straight up for the past few weeks, seeing more of it on the timeline
$autism -> $389k to $1m (2.57x), launched on July 16, ATH $7 .3m
$gm -> $93k to $402k (4.3x), cat meme, launched 2 months ago, pushed today

More Plays
$moodeng -> $200k to $959k (4.8x), baby hippo
$fc -> hit $757k , Fishcopter, fish + helicopter, CTO, good volume
$stacy -> hit $600k , $giga stacy
$zaboo -> hit $483k , Zaboomafoo
$minmori -> hit $369k , dog meme, posted by gireumee

$cc -> hit $267k , "CubCat"

I'm personally a fan of this moonshot meta w/ LP rewards. Will be interesting to see how if they're able to update the top 50 holders post merge

Lock in🔒

📊 Weekly Outlook Charts Sep 2-6:

$BTC $SOL $ETH $WIF

Markets just took a turn 📉
What happened and where are we going?

Bull over? 😞

Heres what you need to know: 👇

🚨Market Breadth is flashing warning signs, with MMMTH, MMMFI, and MMMTW indicators suggesting a potential rotation out of risk. When combined with other indicators such as market fear/greed being neutral, AAII sentiment being 2% off its 1 year bullish high, its likely we will see a rotation out of risk such as crypto - paving a short opportunity for risky assets in crypto (political tokens, meme tokens etc)

https://www.tradingview.co.../

📉 #DXY retest of trend line on broad market pullbacks/weakness. Bearish continuation expected until EOY. Short term upside, longer term downside. 96 on DXY still on the table.

https://www.tradingview.co.../

📈 #SPY breadth is peaking on the 200, 50, and 20 D (see market breadth above)

When the market is running low on breadth, there will be some rotation or correction. Selling expensive stocks for cheaper ones (most likely cyclical's) will cause some selling pressure on the bigger names like NVDA, AAPL etc. Expect sidways choppiness for the majority of the market.

Ichimoku still indicating bullish continuation. Q4 will be good. Target at 6000 remains.

https://www.tradingview.co.../

⛽️ #USOIL staring its trend toward $61 oil as expected. It would have to be an alarming geopolitical situation to turn the course of OIL back up

https://www.tradingview.co.../

⚠️ #btc bulls be very cautious here!

Bear case:
1. SPY breadth running out of steem
2. SPY seasonal weakness in September
3. BTC is below 20 W EMA, 50/200 D MA bearish cross
4. BTC Weekly close below the ichimoku cloud.

Still possible for a 70k retest at trendline, but Bear case outweighs the bull base

https://www.tradingview.co.../

📉 #eth still lagging behind. Alts in general will enjoy a beating as BTC chops/declines.

2k retest is on the horizon.

https://www.tradingview.co.../

📊 Weekly Outlook: September 2-6 📊

Market News & Sentiment 📰

- BCA research warns of AI sector slowdown impacting stock market more than economy 🤖- Labor market weakness expected to continue 💼
- Fed blackout period begins after September 6 🗣️
- Market anticipating 25bps rate cut in September 📉
- Analysts forecast 2 more ECB rate cuts by year-end 📊

Events This Week 📅

- Monday:
🇬🇧 UK Manufacturing PMI 📊

- Tuesday:
🇺🇸 US Manufacturing PMI, Fed GDP Now 📊

- Wednesday:
🇪🇺 EU Composite PMI, Services PMI 📊
🇨🇦 CAD Interest Rate Decision 📈
🇺🇸 US Job Openings, Beige Book 📊
Earnings: Dollar Tree 📊

- Thursday:
🇺🇸 US Jobless Claims, Fed Balance Sheet 📊

- Friday:
🇪🇺 EU GDP 📊
🇺🇸 US Payroll Data, Participation Rate, Unemployment 📊
Earnings: Kroger 📊

Risk Appetite 🤔

- Truflation: 1.55% 🔥
- Market Fear/Greed Index: 63 (neutral) 📊
- Market Breadth: Extreme Greed 🚀
- Put/Call Ratio: Neutral 📊
- Junk Bond vs Investment Grade: Fear 😬
- AAII Sentiment: 2% off 1-year bullish high 📈
- Crypto Fear/Greed Index: 28 (Fear) 😨
- High Yield Bond Premium: 3.15% (slight decrease) ⬇️
- High Yield Effective Yield: 7.8% (slight increase) ⬆️

Market Breadth 📈

- SPX stocks above 200D MA: 62% (increase from last week) 📈
- SPX stocks above 50D MA: 66% (increase from last week) 📈
- SPX stocks above 20D MA: 79% (substantial increase from last week) 🚀
- NASDAQ new highs - new lows: 61 📊
- SPY 52-week highs - 52-week lows: -7 📊
- SPY New highs - New lows: Monthly 114, Weekly 93 📊

Other 📊

- Fed Rate Monitor Tool: 70% probability of 25bps, 30% probability of 50bps 📊

📊 Weekly Outlook Charts Aug 26-30:

We're expecting some exciting market movements this week. Here's what you need to know:

#DXY is still falling as forecasted, but a bullish divergence is forming on daily charts. Consolidation above 100 levels is possible. https://www.tradingview.co... 📉

#SPY pricing in Fed cuts, consolidation expected until Friday's PCE numbers. Trend still bullish, but uncertainty around Fed's move. https://www.tradingview.co.../ 📊

#USOIL breakout possible from ascending triangle, but depends on geopolitical tensions. If there's no escalation, $67 oil still on the table. [Weekly outlook chart for USOIL: https://www.tradingview.co.../ 💡

#btc traders should exercise caution due to mixed technical and an unfavorable Risk/Reward ratio. It's best to wait for a breakout above $70k . Consolidation may last for months, so patience is key.

https://www.tradingview.co.../🙏

#eth is looking more bearish, struggling to break resistance. If $BTC is rejected from $70k again, expect $ETH to test $2k or lower.

https://www.tradingview.co... 🚨

📊 Weekly Outlook August 26-30:
Market focused on labor market data and Fed rate cuts 📊

News/Sentiment: 📊
• Uncertainty over 25 bps or 50 bps cut
• High focus on labor market (PCE data on Friday)
• Fed funds futures market is pricing in 100 BPS of cuts by EOY
• Market anticipating lower than usual expectation for NVDA earnings

Events This Week: 📅
Mon:
• 🇺🇸US: Durable Goods, Fed GDPNow

Tue:
• 🇩🇪GER: GDP
• 🇺🇸US: CB Consumer confidence, 2 year note auction

Wed:
• 🇺🇸US: 5 year note auction
• 💸 Earnings: NVDA

Thu:
• 🇺🇸US: Jobless claims, GDP
• 🇨🇳CNY: CPI
• 💸 Earnings: DG, ULTA, CPB, LULU

Fri:
• 🇪🇺EUR: CPI
• 🇺🇸US: PCE, Core PCE

Risk Appetite: 😬
• Truflation: 1.47%
• Market fear/greed = 54
• Market breadth = extreme greed
• Put/call = greed
• Junk bond vs investment grade = extreme fear
• AAII sentiment: 1% off 1 year bullish high
• Crypto fear/greed = 55 greed
• High yield bond premium = 3.21%
• High yield effective yield = 7% (slight decrease)

Market Breadth: 📊
• Percentage of $SPX stocks above 200D MA: = 61% (increase from last week)
• Percentage of $SPX stocks above 50D MA: = 67% (increase from last week)
• Percentage of $SPX stocks above 20D MA: = 77% (increase from last week)
• NASDAQ new highs - new lows = 114
• SPY 52 week highs - 52 week lows = 28
• SPY New highs - New lows = Monthly 98 ; Weekly 59

Other: 📊
• Fed rate monitor tool = 30% chance of 50 BPS cut, 70% chance of 25 BPS cut

📊 Weekly Outlook Charts Aug 19-23:

#DXY still grinding lower. Nothing much has changed since last week. Global PMI data and subsequent labor market data in UK, France, Germany, USA will have an impact on fed cut expectations and by proxy risk assets including the dollar.

The Annual Jackson Hole meeting is this week as well. Surely there will be some volatility. My best guess is Powell restating the fact that the fight against inflation is almost over and focus on labor market data will be prioritized going forward to initiate the 'soft landing'

https://www.tradingview.co.../

Within 2 weeks since the yen unwinding, we are just a couple percentage points off the highs. The vast volatility has me a bit suspicious. Since we are back above the cloud, confirms bullish continuation, however I suspect this week we might range around 5600 on #SPY due to heavy news flow this week.

https://www.tradingview.co.../

Seems like USOIL is closely following DXY most likely due to concerns of global economic growth.

https://www.tradingview.co.../

#btc still lagging risk assets in tradfi markets. Not bullish again until daily closes above the cloud. Still ranging. Not particularly interested here

https://www.tradingview.co.../

#eth is still struggling to pass resistance. Must be patient

https://www.tradingview.co.../

📊 Weekly Outlook August 19-23:
Market focused on Jackson Hole retreat on Friday for clues on rate cuts

News/Sentiment: 📊
• Market focused on Jackson Hole retreat on Friday for clues on rate cuts

• Global PMI data release on Thursday hints at global economic health

• Citi expects 25bps in September and 25bps in November

• Fed minutes from July FOMC to be released on Wednesday

• Labor market data is higher priority than inflation data to determine Fed rate cuts

Events This Week: 📅
Mon:
• 🇪🇺EUR: CPI, German PPI
• 💸 Earnings: Palo Alto ($PANW), Estee Lauder ($EL)

Tue:
• 🇨🇦CAD: CPI
• 🇯🇵JPY: Exports, trade balance
• 💸 Earnings: Lowes $LOW

Wed:
• 🇺🇸US: Fed minutes FOMC, 20-year bond auction
• 💸 Earnings: Tj Maxx $TJX , Target $TGT

Thu:
• Global PMI data
• 🇫🇷FR: Manufacturing/services PMI
• 🇩🇪GER: Manufacturing/services PMI
• 💸 Earnings: Dollar Tree $DLTR

Fri:
• 🇺🇸US: Powell speaks at Jackson Hole at 10am ET, Housing data

Risk Appetite: 😬
• Truflation: 1.42%

• Market fear/greed = 40

• Market breadth = neutral

• Put/call = greed

• Junk bond vs investment grade = extreme fear RiskAppetite

• AAII sentiment: 5% above historical bullish average

• Crypto fear/greed = 28 fear

• High yield bond premium = 3.29% (large decrease)

• High yield effective yield = 7.15% (large decrease)

Market Breadth: 📊
• Percentage of $SPX stocks above 200D MA: = 58% (increase from last week)

• Percentage of $SPX stocks above 50D MA: = 57% (increase from last week)

• Percentage of $SPX stocks above 20D MA: = 50% (substantial increase from last week)

• NASDAQ new highs - new lows = 38

• SPY 52 week highs - 52 week lows =-80

• SPY New highs - New lows = Monthly 68 ; Weekly 19

Other: 📊
• Fed rate monitor tool = 77% probability of 25 bps cut, 23% of 50 BPS cut

📊 Weekly Outlook August 5-9:
Fears of global recession, US markets slip over weakening economic data 📉 #GlobalRecession #USMarkets

😬 News/Sentiment:
• Fears of global recession
• US markets slip over weakening economic data
• Pessimism over Middle east tensions
• Rumors of Jump Trading shutting down crypto operations
• 78% probability of 50bps cut in September 📉
• BofA believe employment numbers are over exaggerated
• Sahm rule triggered; 10/11 chance of recession in 4 months 📊
• Poor earnings, negative revisions and general pessimist outlook for earning season
• Harris' recent success in polls having negative impact on cryptos
• Yen-dollar carry trades unwinding, negatively affecting global markets 📉 #YenDollar #CarryTrades

📅 Events This Week (cont.):

•Tue: AUD: Interest rate decision and monetary policy statement, US: Fed GDP now #AUDRate #FedeGDP

•Wed: US: Consumer Credit report

•Thu: India: Interest rate Decision, US: Jobless claims, Fed Balance Sheet #ConsumerCredit #IndiaRate

😬 Risk Appetite:
• AAII sentiment: 7% off 1 year bullish high (as of last week)
• Market fear/greed = 19
• Market breadth = fear
• Put/call = extreme fear
• Junk bond vs investment grade = extreme fear
• Crypto fear/greed = 26
•High yield bond prem. = 3.72%

📊 Market Breadth:
• Percentage of $SPX stocks above 200D MA: = 55% (Decrease from last week)
• Percentage of $SPX stocks above 50D MA: = 49% (Decrease from last week)
• Percentage of $SPX stocks above 20D MA: = 30% (decrease from last week)
• NASDAQ new highs - new lows = -90
• SPY 52 week highs - 52 week lows =-291
• SPY New highs - New lows = Monthly 44 ; Weekly 4
Fed rate monitor tool = 95% probability of 25bps cut next meeting, 78% chance of 50bps (September 18th)