15 days ago
🚨 Sony is collaborating with Pyth Network and StartaleHQ to deploy real-time price data on Soneium , a new blockchain developed by Sony Block Solutions Labs
https://x.com/crypto__goku...
https://x.com/crypto__goku...
1 month ago
BITCOIN $BTC
Repeat cycle indicator
➡️ According to this indicator, which replicates the movements of the previous 1458 days and projects them into the future, Bitcoin's parabolic rise could begin at the end of September, if this cycle plays out like the previous one.
👉 Many indicators show that we are entering areas where significant movement is expected soon
📈 To be continued 🔥
#Bitcoin
Repeat cycle indicator
➡️ According to this indicator, which replicates the movements of the previous 1458 days and projects them into the future, Bitcoin's parabolic rise could begin at the end of September, if this cycle plays out like the previous one.
👉 Many indicators show that we are entering areas where significant movement is expected soon
📈 To be continued 🔥
#Bitcoin
1 month ago
My Macro take on crypto
#btc on the weekly doesnt look great. We closed lower than the 20 W EMA on the weekly which has consistently signaled the end of bear markets post halving (may 2021 being an exception). However, this is a weak argument imo and I think this cycle more closely resembles last cycle where we had the exception in May 2021 because there is more evidence that this cycle is not yet done.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
Based on cyclical data, where btc is this cycle indicates 2025 to be a key year as the year after halving is usually the best year.
Image below shows historical dates of mid cycle top/bottoms, and cycle tops/bottoms with dates of halving as well. We were at the mid-cycle top earlier this spring - represented by the purple dot in Cycle 4. If historical data suggests any clues on market cycle top, Q4 2025 would be the date.
Furthermore, the average days from previous cycle tops to current cycle tops are 1268 days. A conservative estimate would be a top in Q2 2025, with the possibility of an extension into Q4 2025 if this cycle follows more closely to the last 2 cycles which had 1450 days between cycle tops. More data suggests Q4 2025 cycle top as the last 2 cycles took 1060 days from cycle bottom to cycle peak.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
Some more data that confirms my biases:
- Average Number of days btc spent above 20 W EMA (last 2 cycles) = 802 days
- This cycle so far = 413 Days
- Number of days btc spent above 200 D MA (last 2 cycles) = 787 days
- This cycle so far = 462 Days.
To sum things up: the data suggests we still have about a year of bull market activity lined up. I'd say Q2 2025 cycle top is conservative given the macro environment. The Sahm Rule and other leading indicators of recession has me worried about the 2nd half of 2025. Economic data is almost always lagging and whether we are in a recession today or not, we will not know until 2 quarters from now. That being said, if Sahm Rule holds true and we enter recession in Q4, we won't know until at least Q2.
#btc on the weekly doesnt look great. We closed lower than the 20 W EMA on the weekly which has consistently signaled the end of bear markets post halving (may 2021 being an exception). However, this is a weak argument imo and I think this cycle more closely resembles last cycle where we had the exception in May 2021 because there is more evidence that this cycle is not yet done.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
Based on cyclical data, where btc is this cycle indicates 2025 to be a key year as the year after halving is usually the best year.
Image below shows historical dates of mid cycle top/bottoms, and cycle tops/bottoms with dates of halving as well. We were at the mid-cycle top earlier this spring - represented by the purple dot in Cycle 4. If historical data suggests any clues on market cycle top, Q4 2025 would be the date.
Furthermore, the average days from previous cycle tops to current cycle tops are 1268 days. A conservative estimate would be a top in Q2 2025, with the possibility of an extension into Q4 2025 if this cycle follows more closely to the last 2 cycles which had 1450 days between cycle tops. More data suggests Q4 2025 cycle top as the last 2 cycles took 1060 days from cycle bottom to cycle peak.
https://www.tradingview.co.../
Some more data that confirms my biases:
- Average Number of days btc spent above 20 W EMA (last 2 cycles) = 802 days
- This cycle so far = 413 Days
- Number of days btc spent above 200 D MA (last 2 cycles) = 787 days
- This cycle so far = 462 Days.
To sum things up: the data suggests we still have about a year of bull market activity lined up. I'd say Q2 2025 cycle top is conservative given the macro environment. The Sahm Rule and other leading indicators of recession has me worried about the 2nd half of 2025. Economic data is almost always lagging and whether we are in a recession today or not, we will not know until 2 quarters from now. That being said, if Sahm Rule holds true and we enter recession in Q4, we won't know until at least Q2.
1 month ago
💬 “We don’t see any additional negatives for crypto here. Bitcoin institutional adoption trends – ETF inflows and wirehouse/bank approvals remain on track.”
According to Bernstein analysts
“Overall, the Bitcoin and crypto market will likely trade on macro and electoral cues for most of Q3 2024.”
They also note that if broader stock markets rally due to a Federal Reserve response, “we would expect Bitcoin and crypto markets to follow.”
https://decrypt.co/243145/...
According to Bernstein analysts
“Overall, the Bitcoin and crypto market will likely trade on macro and electoral cues for most of Q3 2024.”
They also note that if broader stock markets rally due to a Federal Reserve response, “we would expect Bitcoin and crypto markets to follow.”
https://decrypt.co/243145/...
Bitcoin Institutional Adoption 'Remains on Track' Despite Market Turbulence: Bernstein - Decrypt
"We don't see any incremental negatives for crypto here," the analysts wrote.
https://decrypt.co/243145/bitcoin-institutional-adoption-remains-on-track-despite-market-turbulence-bernstein
2 months ago
Solana’s vast staking ecosystem continues to offer a generous bounty of rewards and utilities. The network’s burgeoning DeFi activity has amplified blockchain revenue, flipping Ethereum in yet another key metric.
Meanwhile, the consistent growth of Solana LSTs (Liquid Staking Token) appears to be plateauing, with net LST flows turning negative on weekly and monthly timeframes.
SOLANA FLIPS ETHEREUM ON REVENUE GENERATION
Off the back of a massive month of DeFi trading activity, Solana’s network revenue has surpassed Ethereum’s on a daily timeframe.
According to Artemis data, Solana has slowly closed the gap on Ethereum in terms of revenue generation before finally surging past its biggest rival. On July 28th, the Solana network generated over $1 .2M in revenue, lending credibility to the network’s economic model.
This is good news for Solana validator operators and stakers. Not only does surging revenue translate to greater earnings for stakers, Solana’s increasing transaction counts also burn SOL tokens. Burning 50% of every transaction fee, this mechanism helps to counter SOL issuance and inflation, building a more sustainable token economy.
SOL TOKEN BURNS
Based on the last seven days of Dune Analytics data, the Solana token burn mechanism has burnt 38,145 SOL, currently valued at over $6 .92M. Despite burning over 5,000 SOL per day, the Solana network still issues just over 160,000 SOL through validator rewards.
LIQUID STAKING FLOUNDERS
Solana’s thriving liquid staking economy has enjoyed immense growth throughout the year. However, the TVL (Total Value Locked) of liquid-staked SOL has dropped over the last 30 days, signaling that interest in LST assets has plateaued.
According to Dune Analytics data, the total number of SOL staked through LSTs reduced by over 128k in the last 30 days, with 42.41% (45,411 SOL) of that figure being withdrawn in the last 7 days.
This decrease is likely due to the withdrawal of capital from Sanctum’s popular LST ecosystem, which attracted over $1B in TVL from depositors in anticipation of Sanctum’s initial CLOUD airdrop.
In a bid to attract more liquid stakers to their validator, Jupiter implemented a dramatic change in their fee structure. On July 22nd, Jupiter announced that 80% of block rewards would go to jupSOL, increased from 50%.
Meanwhile, Step Finance launched another addition to its growing ecosystem. In collaboration with Sanctum, Step Finance unveiled its proprietary LST, stepSOL, which provides holders with STEP reward options on top of all the existing benefits of liquid-staked assets.
THE RETURN OF NATIVE STAKING??
With attention shifting away from LSTs, this may be an excellent opportunity for the Solana community to explore native staking. While not offering the flexibility of liquid staking, native staking provides greater security and peace of mind for SOL stakers.
One of the longest-serving DeFi protocols in the ecosystem, Marinade Finance offers one of Solana’s most powerful staking services. Optimized to provide stakers with the best possible staking rewards across an aggregated pool of leading validators, Marinade offers Solana’s only automated non-custodial staking tool.
What’s more, novel features like Marinade’s Stake Auction Marketplace and Protected Staking Rewards ensure users maximum rewards, while benefitting from the inherent security of native staking.
At press time, Marinade Finance is Solana’s most popular staking provider, attracting over 147k unique accounts. Offering comprehensive support for Solana staking, Marinade has attracted over $1 .4B in TVL, with 32.15% of this figure directed to native staking according to Dune Analytics.
Between Solana’s explosive revenue generation and the vast range of staking products available in the ecosystem through projects like Marinade, there’s never been a better time to stake SOL.
Meanwhile, the consistent growth of Solana LSTs (Liquid Staking Token) appears to be plateauing, with net LST flows turning negative on weekly and monthly timeframes.
SOLANA FLIPS ETHEREUM ON REVENUE GENERATION
Off the back of a massive month of DeFi trading activity, Solana’s network revenue has surpassed Ethereum’s on a daily timeframe.
According to Artemis data, Solana has slowly closed the gap on Ethereum in terms of revenue generation before finally surging past its biggest rival. On July 28th, the Solana network generated over $1 .2M in revenue, lending credibility to the network’s economic model.
This is good news for Solana validator operators and stakers. Not only does surging revenue translate to greater earnings for stakers, Solana’s increasing transaction counts also burn SOL tokens. Burning 50% of every transaction fee, this mechanism helps to counter SOL issuance and inflation, building a more sustainable token economy.
SOL TOKEN BURNS
Based on the last seven days of Dune Analytics data, the Solana token burn mechanism has burnt 38,145 SOL, currently valued at over $6 .92M. Despite burning over 5,000 SOL per day, the Solana network still issues just over 160,000 SOL through validator rewards.
LIQUID STAKING FLOUNDERS
Solana’s thriving liquid staking economy has enjoyed immense growth throughout the year. However, the TVL (Total Value Locked) of liquid-staked SOL has dropped over the last 30 days, signaling that interest in LST assets has plateaued.
According to Dune Analytics data, the total number of SOL staked through LSTs reduced by over 128k in the last 30 days, with 42.41% (45,411 SOL) of that figure being withdrawn in the last 7 days.
This decrease is likely due to the withdrawal of capital from Sanctum’s popular LST ecosystem, which attracted over $1B in TVL from depositors in anticipation of Sanctum’s initial CLOUD airdrop.
In a bid to attract more liquid stakers to their validator, Jupiter implemented a dramatic change in their fee structure. On July 22nd, Jupiter announced that 80% of block rewards would go to jupSOL, increased from 50%.
Meanwhile, Step Finance launched another addition to its growing ecosystem. In collaboration with Sanctum, Step Finance unveiled its proprietary LST, stepSOL, which provides holders with STEP reward options on top of all the existing benefits of liquid-staked assets.
THE RETURN OF NATIVE STAKING??
With attention shifting away from LSTs, this may be an excellent opportunity for the Solana community to explore native staking. While not offering the flexibility of liquid staking, native staking provides greater security and peace of mind for SOL stakers.
One of the longest-serving DeFi protocols in the ecosystem, Marinade Finance offers one of Solana’s most powerful staking services. Optimized to provide stakers with the best possible staking rewards across an aggregated pool of leading validators, Marinade offers Solana’s only automated non-custodial staking tool.
What’s more, novel features like Marinade’s Stake Auction Marketplace and Protected Staking Rewards ensure users maximum rewards, while benefitting from the inherent security of native staking.
At press time, Marinade Finance is Solana’s most popular staking provider, attracting over 147k unique accounts. Offering comprehensive support for Solana staking, Marinade has attracted over $1 .4B in TVL, with 32.15% of this figure directed to native staking according to Dune Analytics.
Between Solana’s explosive revenue generation and the vast range of staking products available in the ecosystem through projects like Marinade, there’s never been a better time to stake SOL.
3 months ago
Daily Memecoin Recap - June 29
Weekends are best to touch grass
Low volume - Market is very PvP
Billy Wants All-Time-High
$billy -> $24m to $88m (3.67x from the low)
Billy Deployer Wallet Private Key Leaked
$silly -> $980k , CTO, launched on $billy 's deployer wallet
Popcat Continues Pushing
$popcat -> $211m to $663m (3.14x from the low)
Soulja Boy Comeback
$sboy -> $1m to $6m (6x),
Dog Memes
$chucky -> hit $2m , normie meme
$dilly -> hit $1 .7m
$nelly -> hit $922k , CTO
$bilchi -> hit $500k , $michi derivative
Cat Memes
$itty -> $145k to $950k (6.55x)
$cat -> hit $3 .4m, Lion Cat
$yami -> hit $473k
Long Term Holds
$retardio -> $12 .5m to $40m (3.2x from the low)
$lockin -> $5m to $18 .4m (3.68x), normie + CT meme
$aura -> $5m to $17m (3.4x from the low), good team
More Cooks
$doogle -> $3 .85m to $9 .3m (2.41x)
$chwy -> $2 .7m to $9 .5m (3.5x)
$kama -> $1 .67m to $5 .14m (3x),
$meesa -> $1m to $4 .15m (4.15x)
$palmy -> $300k to $1 .81m (6x)
$oblock -> hit $2 .4m
$smc -> hit $450k , good website, CTO
$mango -> hit $425k , "Mango Juul"
Happy Sunday 🤝
Weekends are best to touch grass
Low volume - Market is very PvP
Billy Wants All-Time-High
$billy -> $24m to $88m (3.67x from the low)
Billy Deployer Wallet Private Key Leaked
$silly -> $980k , CTO, launched on $billy 's deployer wallet
Popcat Continues Pushing
$popcat -> $211m to $663m (3.14x from the low)
Soulja Boy Comeback
$sboy -> $1m to $6m (6x),
Dog Memes
$chucky -> hit $2m , normie meme
$dilly -> hit $1 .7m
$nelly -> hit $922k , CTO
$bilchi -> hit $500k , $michi derivative
Cat Memes
$itty -> $145k to $950k (6.55x)
$cat -> hit $3 .4m, Lion Cat
$yami -> hit $473k
Long Term Holds
$retardio -> $12 .5m to $40m (3.2x from the low)
$lockin -> $5m to $18 .4m (3.68x), normie + CT meme
$aura -> $5m to $17m (3.4x from the low), good team
More Cooks
$doogle -> $3 .85m to $9 .3m (2.41x)
$chwy -> $2 .7m to $9 .5m (3.5x)
$kama -> $1 .67m to $5 .14m (3x),
$meesa -> $1m to $4 .15m (4.15x)
$palmy -> $300k to $1 .81m (6x)
$oblock -> hit $2 .4m
$smc -> hit $450k , good website, CTO
$mango -> hit $425k , "Mango Juul"
Happy Sunday 🤝
4 months ago
Roses are red 🌹
I’m just a Peng 🐧
Bulls hodl the line 😎
Jeets will fcking cry 😭
@Funless
#strongcommunity #BullVerse #bullish
I’m just a Peng 🐧
Bulls hodl the line 😎
Jeets will fcking cry 😭
@Funless
#strongcommunity #BullVerse #bullish
